Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.71	5.21	Watch
	1.57	5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)	4.86 ↑ (4.57)	4.86 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
60.8%

Draw
19.6%

Sibir Novosibirsk
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

21.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

21.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg's performance.

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sibir Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Avtomobilist (2.03) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avtomobilist (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
21. Osipov M.	21. Alanov Y.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)	27. Gordeev F.
17. Macek B.	85. Beck T. (A)
86. Sharov A.	19. Andreoff A.
11. Sprong D.	7. Tkachenko P.
Line 2
9. Blacker J.	54. Churkin A.
7. Busygin Y.	9. Zaitsev Y.
16. Boucher R.	11. Koshelev S.
14. Valk C.	97. Abramov M.
15. Golyshev A.	61. Yakovlev A. (A)
Line 3
2. Zborovsky S.	38. Baklashev N.
55. Vorobyov K. (A)	74. Orlov M.
97. Kizimov S.	51. Leshchenko V.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)	12. Nekolenko A.
92. Gorbunov R.	84. Talaluyev I.
Line 4
62. Shchuchinov A.	76. Akhiyarov T.
24. Denezhkin M.	24. Sushko M.
81. Romantsev D.	45. Pyanov V.
99. Shashkov N.	52. Shirokov S. (C)
Substitutes
1. Galkin V. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
	28. Pershakov A.
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
05:23, Andreoff A. (2 min),
19:31, (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
08:00, (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:22, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
13:22, (2 min),
14:42, 1 - 0, Sharov A. (G), Boucher R. (A), Blacker J. (A2)
19:23, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
19:37, 2 - 0, Zborovsky S. (G),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Avtomobilist is the team to beat.

We predict that Avtomobilist will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:32. (average 2.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).

Outrights of KHL for now

Yekaterinburg: 6.65%

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 24.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
17.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:2 ✺
14.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:1 ✺
12.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	2:1 OT ✺
08.01.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
17.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
08.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT ✺
06.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Admiral Vladivostok	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
23.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:5
29.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4
31.10.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1
17.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:5
05.10.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	0:4
26.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4
06.09.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0

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