Match Info

NHL

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Enterprise Center (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	St. Louis Blues		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.35	Watch
	2.55	4.13	2.39
	2.5	4.28	2.39	Watch
	2.5	4.33	2.38
	2.52	4.47	2.44
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.24)	4.2 ↑ (4.17)	2.38 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis Blues
37.4%

Draw
22.7%

Buffalo Sabres
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

22.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

St. Louis Blues - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Buffalo will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Hofer J. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
55. Parayko C.	26. Dahlin R.
6. Broberg P.	23. Samuelsson M.
89. Buchnevich P.	91. Doan J.
18. Thomas R.	72. Thompson T.
63. Neighbours J.	19. Krebs P.
Line 2
72. Faulk J.	8. Kesselring M.
75. Tucker T.	25. Power O.
25. Kyrou J.	89. Tuch A.
10. Schenn B.	9. Norris J.
28. Stenberg O.	86. Ostlund N.
Line 3
23. Mailloux L.	73. Metsa Z.
17. Fowler C.	4. Byram B.
21. Snuggerud J.	22. Quinn J.
54. Dvorsky D.	71. McLeod R.
9. Fabbri R.	6. Benson Z.
Line 4
71. Joseph M.	29. Malenstyn B.
70. Sundqvist O.	44. Dunne J.
13. Toropchenko A.	12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
50. Binnington J. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. Montgomery J.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:19, 0 - 1, Ostlund N. (G), Norris J. (A),
05:08, 1 - 1, Schenn B. (G), Stenberg O. (A), Kyrou J. (A2)
08:09, 2 - 1, Snuggerud J. (G), Fabbri R. (A), Parayko C. (A2)
10:31, Metsa Z. (2 min),
20:00, Fowler C. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:17, 2 - 2, Tuch A. (G), Samuelsson M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:46, 2 - 3, Benson Z. (G), Quinn J. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
09:38, Faulk J. (2 min),
15:55, Buchnevich P. (2 min),
18:44, 2 - 4, Krebs P. (G), Malenstyn B. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 3.

St. Louis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buffalo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis: Bjugstad N. (Upper-Body Injury) Holloway D. (Ankle Injury) Jecho A. (Hand Injury) Krug T. (Ankle Injury) Walker N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Dahlin R. (Personal Reasons) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Ellis C. (Concussion) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg) Zucker J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis: Suter P. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Kozak T. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 3.9:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Blues - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.14%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis Blues
NHL
27.12.25	St. Louis Blues - Nashville Predators	3:2 ✺
22.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Florida Panthers - St. Louis Blues	2:6 ✺
18.12.25	St. Louis Blues - New York Rangers	1:2 OT ✺
17.12.25	St. Louis Blues - Winnipeg Jets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
27.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins	4:1 ✺
23.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT ✺
21.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Buffalo Sabres	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - New York Islanders	3:2 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Philadelphia Flyers	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
06.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	0:3
29.12.24	St. Louis Blues - Buffalo Sabres	2:4
14.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	4:3 OT
10.02.24	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	1:3
30.11.23	St. Louis Blues - Buffalo Sabres	6:4
24.01.23	St. Louis Blues - Buffalo Sabres	3:5
23.11.22	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	6:2

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