Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ottawa Senators		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.1	2.7	Watch
	2.38	4.05	2.6
	2.35	4.24	2.63
	2.34	4.29	2.55	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.45
	2.36	4.31	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)	4.15 ↑ (4.11)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
40.6%

Draw
22.8%

Buffalo Sabres
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

25.1%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
2. Zub A.	26. Dahlin R. (C)
43. Kleven T.	23. Samuelsson M.
19. Batherson D.	89. Tuch A. (A)
18. Stutzle T. (A)	72. Thompson T. (A)
20. Zetterlund F.	19. Krebs P.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	4. Byram B.
33. Matinpalo N.	25. Power O.
71. Greig R.	22. Quinn J.
24. Cozens D.	71. McLeod R.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	17. Zucker J.
Line 3
4. Crotty C.	73. Metsa Z.
60. Thomson L.	64. Stanley L.
22. Amadio M.	91. Doan J.
12. Pinto S.	9. Norris J.
28. Giroux C. (A)	6. Benson Z.
Line 4
21. Cousins N.	29. Malenstyn B.
89. Eller L.	44. Dunne J.
37. Foegele W.	12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
03:39, Benson Z. (2 min),
09:59, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
12:36, Spence J. (2 min),
17:09, Tkachuk B. (5 min),
17:09, Stanley L. (5 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:49, 0 - 1, Samuelsson M. (G), Byram B. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
11:01, McLeod R. (2 min),
15:18, 1 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Greig R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:55, 2 - 1, Eller L. (G), Zub A. (A), Foegele W. (A2)
17:42, 3 - 1, Greig R. (G), Spence J. (A),
18:42, 4 - 1, Pinto S. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Arm Injury) Gilbert D. (Upper-Body Injury) Jensen N. (Knee Injury) Sanderson J. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Ottawa: Yakemchuk C. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Carrick S. (Arm Injury) Ostlund N. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:65. (average 3.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 3.2:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Buffalo Sabres: 2.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
31.03.26	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:3 ✺
28.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators	4:2 ✺
26.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 penalties ✺
24.03.26	Detroit Red Wings - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
23.03.26	New York Rangers - Ottawa Senators	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
31.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - New York Islanders	4:3 ✺
28.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	3:2 penalties ✺
27.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Detroit Red Wings	2:5 ✺
25.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins	3:4 OT ✺
22.03.26	Anaheim Ducks - Buffalo Sabres	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
23.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT
15.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	8:4
01.04.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:5
25.03.25	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	3:2
09.01.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	0:4
05.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	5:1
26.09.24	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT

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