The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 39.2%
Draw 22.9%
St. Louis Blues 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
22.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
22.1%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
St. Louis Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
30.8%
30.8%
Toronto Maple Leafs - St. Louis Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). St. Louis will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 12% – 65%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Woll J. (G)
50. Binnington J. (G)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
55. Parayko C.
44. Rielly M. (A)
6. Broberg P.
88. Nylander W. (A)
21. Snuggerud J.
91. Tavares J. (A)
18. Thomas R. (A)
89. Robertson N.
81. Holloway D.
Line 2
22. McCabe J.
72. Faulk J. (A)
2. Benoit S.
17. Fowler C.
53. Cowan E.
25. Kyrou J.
11. Domi M.
54. Dvorsky D.
23. Knies M.
10. Schenn B. (C)
Line 3
51. Stecher T.
51. Kessel M.
36. Mermis D.
75. Tucker T.
74. McMann B.
71. Joseph M.
26. Quillan J.
22. Suter P.
63. Maccelli M.
89. Buchnevich P.
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
26. Walker N.
18. Lorentz S.
70. Sundqvist O.
81. Joshua D.
13. Toropchenko A.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
30. Hofer J. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Montgomery J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:50, 0 - 1, Walker N. (G),
03:25, Buchnevich P. (2 min),
05:36, 1 - 1, McCabe J. (G),
16:37, Tucker T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:32, 2 - 1, Lorentz S. (G), Blais S. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
12:06, McCabe J. (2 min),
13:18, 2 - 2, Dvorsky D. (G), Thomas R. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
15:25, McCabe J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:10, Maccelli M. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:06, 3 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Rielly M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Toronto is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
St. Louis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, St. Louis has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laughton S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Matthews A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Roy N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis: Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in St. Louis: Neighbours J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 56:71. (average 2.8:3.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 2.3:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
St. Louis Blues - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.6%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Finland
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Woll J. (G) 
Binnington J. (G) 
Ekman-Larsson O. 
Dvorsky D. 
Suter P. 
Maccelli M. 
Buchnevich P. 
Walker N. 
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