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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 38.9%
Draw 23%
Los Angeles Kings 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
22.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
23.5%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Los Angeles Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Kings than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Ottawa Senators - Los Angeles Kings Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 2 - 40%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Ottawa (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Ottawa (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Ottawa (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)
31. Forsberg A. (G)
2. Zub A.
8. Doughty D.
85. Sanderson J.
44. Anderson M.
19. Batherson D.
9. Kempe A.
18. Stutzle T.
11. Kopitar A.
57. Perron D.
40. Armia J.
Line 2
10. Spence J.
92. Clarke B.
43. Kleven T.
6. Edmundson J.
20. Zetterlund F.
14. Laferriere A.
24. Cozens D.
55. Byfield Q.
71. Greig R.
22. Fiala K.
Line 3
3. Jensen N.
5. Ceci C.
33. Matinpalo N.
2. Dumoulin B.
28. Giroux C.
12. Moore T.
12. Pinto S.
24. Danault P.
22. Amadio M.
37. Foegele W.
Line 4
21. Cousins N.
10. Perry C.
89. Eller L.
15. Turcotte A.
42. Hodgson H.
39. Malott J.
Substitutes
1. Merilainen L. (G)
35. Kuemper D. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Hiller J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:24, Moore T. (2 min),
09:19, 0 - 1, Laferriere A. (G), Anderson M. (A), Byfield Q. (A2)
13:32, Foegele W. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
08:23, Spence J. (2 min),
13:56, Zub A. (2 min),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.
Ottawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Los Angeles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tkachuk B.
(Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Ottawa: Jensen N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:62. (average 2.9:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 3.2:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.