Match Info

MHL

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Stalnye Lisy		Irbis Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.08	4.01	2.99
	2.09	4.37	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stalnye Lisy
45.1%

Draw
22.5%

Irbis Kazan
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

20.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

21%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stalnye Lisy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Trofimov A. (G)	72. Konovalov M. (G)
5. Mukhranov Y. (A)	57. Aibatov D.
73. Tyutyunik A.	81. Fazlov M. (C)
86. Kurichev N. (A)	10. Gayev V. (A)
93. Nechayev I.	37. Kolomytsev I.
84. Fyodorov M.	11. Gimayev S.
Line 2
43. Isakov Y.	16. Istomin D.
95. Ilyev I.	91. Dulnev A.
88. Gavrilovich P. (C)	97. Buzayev K.
34. Sysoyev D.	15. Kamalov A.
17. Alshevsky A.	94. Sakhapov T. (A)
Line 3
15. Poltavchuk N.	89. Lazarev D.
81. Rubin A.	64. Nikitin K.
23. Kushnaryov A.	17. Kalimullin A.
92. Zhulin Y.	63. Gatiyatulin A.
9. Yashnikov M.	13. Gorodilov R.
Line 4
90. Kachyov V.	4. Khatibullin S.
16. Mukhotyanov E.	77. Gainullin I.
69. Malashkin M.	76. Abdukadyrov S.
13. Gushchin M.	92. Bokarev I.
	84. Ovchinnikov A.
Substitutes
85. Pavlinsky V.	1. Grigoryev G. (G)
63. Vokhmyanin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:47, 0 - 1, Sakhapov T. (G), Buzayev K. (A), Kamalov A. (A2)
19:43, 0 - 2, Gayev V. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A), Gimayev S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:47, 0 - 3, Kalimullin A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 2.

Recent performances by Stalnye Lisy have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Irbis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 65:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stalnye Lisy won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 3.8:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Stalnye Lisy - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.45%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stalnye Lisy
MHL
10.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	6:3 ✺
05.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	5:4 penalties ✺
27.08.25	Belye Medvedi - Stalnye Lisy	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL
- Irbis Kazan
MHL
10.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tolpar - Irbis Kazan	5:6 penalties ✺
06.09.25	Tolpar - Irbis Kazan	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.25	Irbis Kazan - Sputnik Almetyevsk	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
10.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	4:2
14.02.25	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	4:2
13.02.25	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	4:2
27.09.24	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	6:1
26.09.24	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	3:5
06.02.24	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	3:2
04.02.24	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	1:2 penalties

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