Match Info

OHL

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Saginaw Spirit		Niagara IceDogs

	1	X	2
	1.51	5.08	4.73
	1.43	5.1	5.1	Watch
	1.49	5	4.65
	1.31	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.93)	5.05 ↑ (4.51)	5.22 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
64.1%

Draw
18.2%

Niagara IceDogs
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

20.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saginaw Spirit's performance.

Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niagara IceDogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saginaw (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Knowling B. (G)	35. Haffner C. (G)
72. Barnes B.	72. Barnes B. (A)
18. Bate D.	7. Cheynowski C.
42. Cloutier J.	25. Dell'Elce S.
95. Geldart G.	17. Edgar R. (A)
14. George B.	92. Galiyanov I.
5. Glavin J. (A)	73. Gallacher L.
88. Hanrahan R.	9. Hage A.
7. Khotkov G.	64. Hull C.
24. Martyniuk T.	44. Kramer T.
2. Meyer K.	61. Langdon J.
93. Milojevic A.	22. Lappan M.
62. Pepoy B. (A)	11. Lewandowski C.
11. Roscoe D.	16. Merrill F.
10. Savin D.	86. Mullins W.
90. Schmidt S.	5. Munnings B.
17. Velliaris X.	93. Read N.
66. Wassilyn B.	43. Smith R. (A)
71. Zhilkin D. (C)	91. Stejskal S.
Substitutes
63. Shurygin S. (G)	30. Beaupre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:54, 1 - 0, Wassilyn B. (G), Barnes B. (A), Savin D. (A2)
13:39, 2 - 0, Cloutier J. (G), Hanrahan R. (A), Meyer K. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
07:53, 3 - 0, Schmidt S. (G), Pepoy B. (A),
09:08, 4 - 0, Savin D. (G),
14:42, 4 - 1, Smith R. (G), Mullins W. (A), Barnes B. (A2)
16:44, 5 - 1, Zhilkin D. (G), Wassilyn B. (A), Martyniuk T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:35, 5 - 2, Cheynowski C. (G), Gallacher L. (A),
17:33, 5 - 3, Langdon J. (G), Lewandowski C. (A), Barnes B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.

Saginaw is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Saginaw has faced a series of away games on the road.

Saginaw is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saginaw has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:63 (averaging 3.4:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saginaw against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 33:26 goals (averaging 3.3:2.6 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Saginaw Spirit - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.83%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
19.09.26	Saginaw Spirit - Flint Firebirds	4:5 ✺
18.09.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Saginaw Spirit	5:4 AET ✺
QMJHL
31.08.26	Newfoundland Regiment - Saginaw Spirit	5:1
29.08.26	Newfoundland Regiment - Saginaw Spirit	6:5 OT
28.08.26	Newfoundland Regiment - Saginaw Spirit	3:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLW
- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
19.09.26	Niagara IceDogs - Brampton Steelheads	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Niagara IceDogs	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
02.04.26	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	6:9 ✺
31.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
05.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 penalties
26.09.25	Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs	4:5 penalties
09.01.25	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	7:2
29.12.24	Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs	6:3
26.11.23	Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs	6:2
18.11.23	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	2:3
17.11.22	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	2:3

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