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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 32.8%
Draw 21%
North Bay Battalion 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
20.3%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
21.7%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sudbury Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Bay Battalion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bronas B. (G)
30. LIsson J. (G)
72. Bennett B.
13. Barch H.
44. Berehowsky D.
17. Cali R.
93. Blonda L.
11. Carey R.
91. Chitaroni H.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
26. Chovan J.
4. Enright A.
19. Clayton B.
26. Gervais S.
9. Coughlan C. (A)
5. Greer K.
11. Dean E.
6. Harper B.
24. Doucet H.
15. Kunopaski C.
7. Ewles G.
19. Laird N. (A)
84. Gonchar A.
2. Manzo A.
77. Henderson R. (A)
12. Pitre K.
81. Kostuch C.
21. Procyszyn E. (C)
13. Martin H.
20. Pronin A.
71. Nemec A.
25. Ride B. (A)
4. O'Dell T.
16. Vaughan P.
97. Provorov V.
14. Warren C.
57. Smith B.
28. Wellenreiter N.
88. Ula G.
Substitutes
1. Chartier K. (G)
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:30, 0 - 1, Wellenreiter N. (G), Pitre K. (A), Ride B. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
02:59, 1 - 1, Nemec A. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Berehowsky D. (A2)
03:28, 2 - 1, Chitaroni H. (G), Blonda L. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
06:53, 2 - 2, Gervais S. (G), Procyszyn E. (A), Pitre K. (A2)
12:44, 3 - 2, Coughlan C. (G), Chovan J. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
14:16, 3 - 3, Procyszyn E. (G), Wellenreiter N. (A), Greer K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
07:43, 3 - 4, Pronin A. (G), Dubrovtsev Y. (A), Greer K. (A2)
14:59, 3 - 5, Procyszyn E. (G), Pronin A. (A),
18:30, 3 - 6, Wellenreiter N. (G),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 1.
Sudbury has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
North Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
North Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Bay has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:73. (average 3.2:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:32. (average 3.9:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
North Bay Battalion - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bronas B. (G) 
LIsson J. (G) 
Dubrovtsev Y. 
Chovan J. 
Gervais S. 
Pronin A. 
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