The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves U20 35.8%
Draw 20.9%
HPK U20 43.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
21.4%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
21.8%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves U20's performance.
HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HPK U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HPK U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ilves U20 - HPK U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 3)
00:23, 1 - 0, Liljeberg M. (G), Petaja K. (A),
06:19, 1 - 1, Fagerstrom V. (G), Lappalainen M. (A), Liski T. (A2)
07:22, 2 - 1, Viita F. (G), Poikela M. (A), Zwikel M. (A2)
08:28, 2 - 2, Makinen I. (G), Klima F. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
10:36, 2 - 3, Laamanen E. (G), Lappalainen M. (A), Liski T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:43, 2 - 4, Viitaluoma V. (G), Lehtonen O. (A), Huttunen R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
HPK U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, HPK U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with HPK U20 holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ilves U20 in today's match, at odds of 3.08.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves U20 has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:68 (averaging 3.3:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 42:38 goals (averaging 3.8:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Hameenlinna U20
14
8
0
3
3
56:36
27
14
Ilves U20
15
6
1
1
7
53:60
21
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves U20 - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
HPK U20 - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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