Match Info

NMHL

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Tambov		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.3	2.1
	2.54	4.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)	4.25 (4.25)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
34.9%

Draw
21.3%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

21.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

21.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:36, 1 - 0, Zakharov Y. (G), Matveyev D. (A), Urakov T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:58, 1 - 1, Mindubayev R. (G), Ryabinin D. (A), Grishin S. (A2)
16:54, 2 - 1, Kravtsov I. (G),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 3:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 2.3:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Tambov
RHL
23.10.25	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:5 ✺
20.10.25	Belgorod - Tambov	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Belgorod - Tambov	2:4 ✺
15.10.25	Tambov - Bobrov	2:5 ✺
14.10.25	Tambov - Bobrov	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
23.10.25	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:5 ✺
20.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:4 ✺
19.10.25	Lipetsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:4 ✺
14.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:1 ✺
13.10.25	MHK Ryazan - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
23.10.25	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:5
23.02.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	5:2
22.02.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	3:6
08.11.24	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	3:5
07.11.24	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:3

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