Match Info

NMHL

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Tambov		Samara

	1	X	2
	2.02	4.05	2.81
	1.84	4.41	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	4.23 ↓ (4.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
47.5%

Draw
21.7%

Samara
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

19.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

19.7%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Tambov - Samara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:01, 0 - 1, Krugomov A. (G), Zhomov A. (A), Semenyukov D. (A2)
16:27, 0 - 2, Polotov M. (G), Meier D. (A),
17:09, 0 - 3, Bunakov N. (G),
18:34, 1 - 3, Kozhevnikov D. (G), Moshinsky T. (A), Ivanov M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:16, 1 - 4, Meier D. (G), Matveyev K. (A), Borodin N. (A2)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tambov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

Tambov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tambov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Including home match between the teams, Tambov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Tambov
RHL
06.11.25	Tambov - Samara	5:0 ✺
03.11.25	Tambov - Dizelist Penza	1:5 ✺
02.11.25	Tambov - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tambov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWL
- HK Samara
RHL
06.11.25	Tambov - Samara	5:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	0:1 OT ✺
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT ✺
28.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Samara - Ermak Angarsk	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
06.11.25	Tambov - Samara	5:0

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