The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carolina Hurricanes 45%
Draw 22.7%
Tampa Bay Lightning 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
22.2%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
24.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carolina will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carolina: 19% – 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carolina Hurricanes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carolina (votes: 4 - 80%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Bussi B. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
5. Chatfield J.
43. Raddysh D.
74. Slavin J.
90. Moser J.J.
24. Jarvis S.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
20. Aho S. (A)
21. Point B.
37. Svechnikov A.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
26. Walker S.
77. Hedman V. (C)
19. Miller K.
51. D'Astous C.
53. Blake J.
59. Guentzel J.
22. Stankoven L.
17. James D.
71. Hall T.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
21. Nikishin A.
81. Cernak E.
4. Gostisbehere S.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
48. Martinook J. (A)
29. Holmberg P.
11. Staal J. (C)
37. Gourde Y.
27. Ehlers N.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
50. Robinson E.
78. Lilleberg E.
77. Jankowski M.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
28. Carrier W.
46. Sabourin S.
Substitutes
31. Andersen F. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
Coaches
. Brind'Amour R.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
01:43, 1 - 0, Ehlers N. (G), Miller K. (A), Martinook J. (A2)
02:56, 2 - 0, Stankoven L. (G), Hall T. (A), Chatfield J. (A2)
06:41, 3 - 0, Hall T. (G), Blake J. (A), Stankoven L. (A2)
16:30, 3 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Sabourin S. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
17:05, 3 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:58, 3 - 3, James D. (G), Guentzel J. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
07:21, 4 - 3, Jarvis S. (G), Svechnikov A. (A),
13:56, Aho S. (2 min),
14:02, 4 - 4, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
15:33, Kucherov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:34, Blake J. (2 min),
06:43, Goncalves G. (2 min),
07:17, 5 - 4, Aho S. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Svechnikov A. (A2)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 1.
Carolina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Carolina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Carolina: Kochetkov P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Carolina: Robinson E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 2.9:2.5).
Outrights of NHL for now
Carolina Hurricanes: 9.79% Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22%
Last Results with these Odds
Carolina Hurricanes - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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Bussi B. (G) 
Johansson J. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
Moser J.J. 
Kucherov N. (A) 
Aho S. (A) 
Cernak E. 
Ehlers N. 
Girgensons Z. 
Lilleberg E. 
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