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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 47.4%
Draw 22.3%
New York Rangers 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
22.3%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
22%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
New York Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tampa Bay Lightning will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
33. Garand D. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
23. Fox A.
90. Moser J.J.
44. Gavrikov V.
86. Kucherov N.
13. Lafreniere A.
71. Cirelli A.
93. Zibanejad M.
38. Hagel B.
94. Perreault G.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.
4. Schneider B.
27. McDonagh R.
45. Fortescue D.
93. Goncalves G.
43. Sheary C.
21. Point B.
8. Miller J.T.
59. Guentzel J.
24. Kartye T.
Line 3
78. Lilleberg E.
17. Borgen W.
51. D'Astous C.
29. Robertson M.
20. Paul N.
49. Chmelar J.
37. Gourde Y.
16. Trocheck V.
28. Girgensons Z.
50. Cuylle W.
Line 4
24. Crozier M.
14. Raddysh T.
10. Perry C.
42. Laba N.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
38. Sykora A.
Substitutes
31. Halverson B. (G)
31. Shesterkin I. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Sullivan M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:02, 0 - 1, Kartye T. (G), Zibanejad M. (A), Gavrikov V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:29, 0 - 2, Kartye T. (G), Miller J.T. (A), Sheary C. (A2)
02:33, D'Astous C. (2 min),
04:49, 0 - 3, Perreault G. (G), Cuylle W. (A), Kartye T. (A2)
07:53, Cuylle W. (2 min),
08:55, Bjorkstrand O. (2 min),
11:15, 1 - 3, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Sabourin S. (A), Chaffee M. (A2)
12:23, Chmelar J. (2 min),
12:23, Cuylle W. (2 min),
12:23, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
12:23, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
12:23, Perry C. (2 min),
12:46, 1 - 4, Zibanejad M. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Miller J.T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:51, 2 - 4, Perry C. (G), Girgensons Z. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
01:29, Chmelar J. (2 min),
16:47, Kartye T. (2 min),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 16).
Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hedman V.
(Personal Reasons)
Holmberg P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Johansson J.
(Injury)
Raddysh D.
(Injury)
There will not play in NY Rangers: Rempe M.
(Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hagel B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:60. (average 2.6:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% New York Rangers: 1.18%
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Vasilevski A. (G) 
Garand D. (G) 
Fox A. 
Moser J.J. 
Zibanejad M. 
Cernak E. 
Lilleberg E. 
Chmelar J. 
Girgensons Z. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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