The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 43.5%
Draw 22.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
22.4%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
21%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Lightning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Lightning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
2. Zub A.
43. Raddysh D.
85. Sanderson J.
90. Moser J.J.
28. Giroux C. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)
18. Stutzle T. (A)
21. Point B.
19. Batherson D.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
10. Spence J.
81. Cernak E.
33. Matinpalo N.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
71. Greig R.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
24. Cozens D.
20. Paul N.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)
59. Guentzel J. (A)
Line 3
5. Crotty C.
78. Lilleberg E.
60. Thomson L.
51. D'Astous C.
22. Amadio M.
10. Perry C.
12. Pinto S.
37. Gourde Y.
21. Cousins N.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.
7. Lundmark S.
89. Eller L.
16. Santini S.
37. Foegele W.
53. Duke D.
14. Geekie C.
11. Pelletier J.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
03:49, Stutzle T. (2 min),
03:49, D'Astous C. (2 min),
06:33, Geekie C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:15, Stutzle T. (2 min),
15:46, 1 - 0, Spence J. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
18:23, 1 - 1, Paul N. (G), Perry C. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
3rd Period (5 - 1)
02:45, 2 - 1, Zetterlund F. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Crotty C. (A2)
04:39, 3 - 1, Sanderson J. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
10:35, 3 - 2, Perry C. (G), McDonagh R. (A), Paul N. (A2)
12:32, Gourde Y. (2 min),
12:51, 4 - 2, Stutzle T. (G), Cozens D. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
12:51, (2 min),
13:04, 5 - 2, Sanderson J. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
15:40, (2 min),
16:41, 6 - 2, Pinto S. (G),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Arm Injury)
Gilbert D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jensen N.
(Knee Injury)
Kleven T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Yakemchuk C.
(Concussion)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hagel B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hedman V.
(Personal Reasons)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Sabourin S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 71:67. (average 3.6:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Ullmark L. (G) 
Zub A. 
Raddysh D. 
Sanderson J. 
Moser J.J. 
Stutzle T. (A) 
Cernak E. 
Matinpalo N. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
Lilleberg E. 
Girgensons Z. 
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