The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Jersey Devils 33.4%
Draw 22.7%
Tampa Bay Lightning 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
22.5%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
22.6%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Jersey Devils's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Jersey Devils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. New Jersey will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
25. Markstrom J. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
7. Hamilton D.
24. Crozier M.
71. Siegenthaler J.
51. D'Astous C.
63. Bratt J. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)
13. Hischier N. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
11. Noesen S.
38. Hagel B. (A)
Line 2
43. Hughes L.
43. Raddysh D.
5. Dillon B.
90. Moser J.J.
47. Cotter P.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
91. Mercer D.
21. Point B.
18. Palat O. (A)
59. Guentzel J.
Line 3
17. Nemec S.
78. Lilleberg E.
45. White C.
67. Carlile D. (C)
16. Brown C.
28. Girgensons Z.
12. Glass C.
37. Gourde Y.
81. Gritsyuk A.
29. Holmberg P.
Line 4
36. Crookshank A.
46. Sabourin S.
14. Glendening L.
20. Paul N.
67. Parent X.
42. Douglas C.
Substitutes
34. Allen J. (G)
33. Halverson B. (G)
Coaches
. Keefe S.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 4)
02:57, 0 - 1, Paul N. (G), Sabourin S. (A),
03:48, 0 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
07:00, 1 - 2, Hughes L. (G), Dillon B. (A), Cotter P. (A2)
07:56, 1 - 3, Holmberg P. (G), Moser J.J. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
07:56, Markstrom J. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
12:28, Hischier N. (2 min),
14:53, Nemec S. (2 min),
15:00, 1 - 4, Guentzel J. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
17:10, Sabourin S. (2 min),
17:10, Sabourin S. (5 min),
17:10, Dillon B. (5 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:19, 1 - 5, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Point B. (A2)
12:18, Gourde Y. (2 min),
13:12, 2 - 5, Bratt J. (G), Nemec S. (A), Noesen S. (A2)
16:35, 2 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Carlile D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
03:13, 3 - 6, Crookshank A. (G), White C. (A), Nemec S. (A2)
07:55, 3 - 7, Point B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
13:37, Sabourin S. (2 min),
15:15, Palat O. (2 min),
15:28, 4 - 7, Cotter P. (G), Glass C. (A), Hughes L. (A2)
15:57, 4 - 8, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
New Jersey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in New Jersey: Dadonov Y.
(Injury)
Hughes J.
(Finger Injury)
Kovacevic J.
(Knee Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pesce B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Vasilevski A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Injury)
James D.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 56:87. (average 2.8:4.4).
Including home matches between the teams, New Jersey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 2.9:4.6).
Brazil
Chile
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Iceland
Mexico
Norway
Portugal
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Ukraine
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
World
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Markstrom J. (G) 
Hamilton D. 
Siegenthaler J. 
Kucherov N. (A) 
Noesen S. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
Palat O. (A) 
Nemec S. 
Lilleberg E. 
Girgensons Z. 
