Match Info

MHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Tolpar		SKA-1946

	1	X	2
	3.37	4.29	1.85
	3.30	4.20	1.82
	3.10	4.30	1.90	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3)	4.26 ↑ (4.17)	1.86 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
28.4%

Draw
21.7%

SKA-1946
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

22.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

22.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

SKA-1946 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Tolpar - SKA 1946 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tolpar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Povarov M. (G)	80. Rogatko A. (G)
36. Shaibakov E.	8. Stefanishin I.
98. Zayets D. (C)	54. Gorokhov S.
17. Zhuk A.	16. Savin D.
87. Buzdyganov V.	98. Suzdorf G. (A)
8. Ranert A.	87. Timashkov M.
Line 2
44. Khafizov A.	88. Vilchinsky A. (C)
24. Karasyov M.	13. Zhigalov M.
63. Makarkin A.	90. Marchenko T.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	22. Shamkiy N. (A)
26. Degtyarev M.	92. Masiyansky M.
Line 3
5. Belevtsev M.	95. Bilinchuk A.
70. Agliullin S.	25. Maltsev A.
19. Bazanov I.	81. Chervyakov I.
29. Laskavyi A.	71. Sobolev R.
75. Shebyakin M. (A)	61. Silyutin N.
Line 4
4. Karpov A.	24. Drozhzhin V.
78. Shermakov A.	47. Rakov P.
21. Bashirov R.	9. Fursov K.
14. Akhmetov Y.	4. Korablyov A.
Substitutes
79. Budai M. (G)	30. Karbainov M. (G)
72. Sergeyev F.	52. Zatsepin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:36, 0 - 1, Fursov K. (G), Gorokhov S. (A), Rakov P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:02, 0 - 2, Fursov K. (G), Korablyov A. (A), Rakov P. (A2)
11:12, 0 - 3, Drozhzhin V. (G), Korablyov A. (A), Rogatko A. (A2)
13:59, 1 - 3, Ranert A. (G), Karasyov M. (A), Sergeyev F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:43, 1 - 4, Savin D. (G), Gorokhov S. (A), Timashkov M. (A2)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

SKA-1946 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA-1946 has had a run of games away from home.

SKA-1946 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-1946 - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.08%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
12.10.26	AKM-Junior - Tolpar	10:2 ✺
08.10.26	Tolpar - Molot Perm	7:6 ✺
06.10.26	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	2:3 ✺
01.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL
- SKA-1946
MHL
13.10.26	Irbis Kazan - SKA-1946	5:1 ✺
11.10.26	Mikhaylov Academy - SKA-1946	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Mikhaylov Academy - SKA-1946	7:2 ✺
06.10.26	MHC Dynamo Moscow - SKA-1946	5:2 ✺
05.10.26	MHC Dynamo Moscow - SKA-1946	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

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