The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 47.5%
Draw 22.3%
Nashville Predators 30.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
22%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
21.2%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Nashville Predators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville Predators than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Nashville Predators Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Stolarz A. (G)
74. Saros J. (G)
8. Tanev C.
59. Josi R. (C)
22. McCabe J.
41. Hague N.
96. Roslovic J.
14. Kerfoot A.
34. Matthews A. (C)
90. O'Reilly R.
86. Marchenko K.
91. Stamkos S. (A)
Line 2
43. Raddysh D.
48. Perbix N.
44. Rielly M. (A)
76. Skjei B.
88. Nylander W.
21. Hoglander N.
91. Tavares J. (A)
71. Wood M.
92. McKenna G.
9. Forsberg F. (A)
Line 3
28. Stecher T.
83. Wilsby A.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
85. Trudeau W.
15. Sissons C.
81. Marchessault J.
20. Paul N.
22. Bourque M.
53. Cowan E.
79. Colton R.
Line 4
29. Groulx B.
47. Ahcan J.
73. Blueger T.
84. Edstrom A.
24. Duhaime B.
18. Drury J.
Substitutes
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
32. Murray M. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. Brunette A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
05:31, Rielly M. (2 min),
07:13, 0 - 1, Stamkos S. (G), Wood M. (A), Josi R. (A2)
09:08, 0 - 2, Hoglander N. (G), Wilsby A. (A), Forsberg F. (A2)
19:47, Marchessault J. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
03:03, 0 - 3, Hoglander N. (G), Forsberg F. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
04:56, 1 - 3, Tavares J. (G), McKenna G. (A), Stolarz A. (A2)
05:31, Drury J. (2 min),
06:58, 2 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Matthews A. (A), Marchenko K. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 4, Stamkos S. (G), O'Reilly R. (A), Skjei B. (A2)
14:31, 3 - 4, McKenna G. (G), Matthews A. (A), Roslovic J. (A2)
15:06, Colton R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:54, 4 - 4, Roslovic J. (G), Matthews A. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:46, 5 - 4, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Nashville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Toronto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Nashville: Annunen J.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Toronto in today's match, at odds of 2.04.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:48 (averaging 2.9:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 30:18 goals (averaging 3:1.8 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% Nashville Predators: 0.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Nashville Predators - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 27.95%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
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Stolarz A. (G) 
Saros J. (G) 
Tanev C. 
Josi R. (C) 
Marchenko K. 
Nylander W. 
Blueger T. 
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