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Current Win Probability
Toros Neftekamsk 20.3%
Draw 22.7%
Omskie Krylia 57%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
23.6%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
24.2%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
Omskie Krylia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omskie Krylia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omskie Krylia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toros is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Omskie Krylia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Toros could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Toros has faced a series of away games on the road.
Omskie Krylia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Omskie Krylia in today's match, at odds of 1.83.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Toros has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:30 (averaging 2.5:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toros against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:10 goals (averaging 2.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Omskie Krylia
18
12
3
0
3
51:25
30
11
Toros Neftekamsk
19
10
0
3
6
47:43
23
Last Results with these Odds
Omskie Krylia - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.85%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.