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Current Win Probability
Omskie Krylia 49.5%
Draw 24.5%
Dizel Penza 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58%
21.4%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
23.1%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omskie Krylia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omskie Krylia's form might have worsened.
Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dizel Penza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omskie Krylia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Omskie Krylia (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Omskie Krylia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
61. Dolgov S. (G)
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
42. Petrishchev R.
9. Balanov Y.
77. Vinogradov A.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)
24. Anop D.
81. Mayorov N.
34. Tagirov K.
13. Svishchyov K.
28. Kazakov M.
69. Boluchevsky A. (A)
Line 2
29. Denisov P.
25. Rudakov G.
4. Yelizarov A. (A)
83. Sukhov S.
27. Davydov D.
22. Bain M.
47. Loktev A. (C)
47. Bobylyov V.
88. Stepanov Y.
97. Borisenkov A.
Line 3
21. Grigoryev I.
59. Nikitin Y.
57. Pavlikov M.
24. Pelevin A.
71. Golodnyuk E.
70. Gazizov R.
91. Protapovich A. (A)
87. Mingaleyev D. (C)
17. Zaikin A.
33. Mukhanov T.
Line 4
76. Kazachek A.
5. Gafarov G.
98. Nazarevich A.
96. Dryagilev A.
20. Levchenko L.
23. Chesnokov G.
93. Malov V.
84. Utkin M.
44. Kozhevnikov K.
91. Opolinsky M.
Substitutes
94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:02, 1 - 0, Protapovich A. (G), Zaikin A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:32, 1 - 1, Gazizov R. (G), Mukhanov T. (A),
10:50, 2 - 1, Loktev A. (G), Levchenko L. (A), Vinogradov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:54, 2 - 2, Mayorov N. (G), Nikitin Y. (A), Borisenkov A. (A2)
19:02, 3 - 2, Zaikin A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omskie Krylia won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Dizel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Omskie Krylia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Omskie Krylia has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:26 (averaging 2.5:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Omskie Krylia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:9 goals (averaging 3:1.8 per game).
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Dolgov S. (G) 
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