Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo-Gorky		Khimik

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.88	2.02	Watch
	3.05	3.85	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3)	3.87 ↑ (3.87)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-Gorky
29.5%

Draw
23.7%

Khimik
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

23.6%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

23.4%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-Gorky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Torpedo Gorky - Khimik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	20. Nikolayev D. (G)
24. Pelevin A.	43. Krasnichuk A.
81. Varlakov A.	4. Sokolov N. (C)
67. Savunov D.	99. Filin Y.
87. Opalev R. (A)	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
71. Rozhkov N. A.	59. Kuzmin G.
Line 2
3. Steklov K.	5. Rukavishnikov R.
59. Nikitin Y.	13. Gavrilov I.
9. Krutov A.	36. Lukin K.
13. Svishchyov K.	97. Kholodilin N.
66. Misnikov A.	12. Buruyanov N.
Line 3
17. Alexandrov D.	87. Dmitriyev S.
33. Bochkov I.	78. Bychkov R.
70. Gazizov R.	10. Tkachenko P. (A)
58. Ilyin D. (A)	7. Kukstel P.
80. Shavin N.	92. Yarovoi S.
Line 4
19. Anisimov A.	32. Maryshev A.
10. Odinokov S.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
84. Utkin M.	2. Varyushkin Y.
23. Chesnokov G.	76. Lukyantsev S.
Substitutes
22. Golan I.	1. Kanayev P. (G)
1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:28, 1 - 0, Opalev R. (G), Savunov D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:29, 1 - 1, Yarovoi S. (G), Gavrilov I. (A), Filin Y. (A2)
05:39, 1 - 2, Buruyanov N. (G), Yarovoi S. (A),
18:14, 2 - 2, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Alexandrov D. (A), Bochkov I. (A2)
19:11, 3 - 2, Varlakov A. (G), Opalev R. (A), Rozhkov N. A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:16, 4 - 2, Odinokov S. (G), Varlakov A. (A), Utkin M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 2.

Torpedo-Gorky has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Khimik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torpedo-Gorky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Khimik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Khimik	13	6	2	2	3	45:26	18

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Khimik - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
25.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2 OT ✺
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chelmet - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
19.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
15.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Toros Neftekamsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
27.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Chelmet - Khimik	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Khimik - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.11.25	Khimik - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1 OT
27.05.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	5:2
25.05.25	Khimik - Torpedo-Gorky	0:4
23.05.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	2:3
21.05.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	2:4
19.05.25	Khimik - Torpedo-Gorky	3:6
17.05.25	Khimik - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3

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