Match Info

VHL

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk) 🌤️ ...


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Khimik

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.3	1.68	Watch
	4.3	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.7)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
21.6%

Draw
22.1%

Khimik
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

22.3%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

21.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	20. Nikolayev D. (G)
88. Krylov I. (A)	43. Krasnichuk A.
29. Papst R.	4. Sokolov N. (C)
41. Paramonov D.	99. Filin Y.
91. Suslov K. (A)	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
77. Zakharov I.	59. Kuzmin G.
Line 2
9. Sitnikov V.	73. Smirnov J.
27. Ostrovsky S.	13. Gavrilov I.
11. Mylnikov D.	36. Lukin K.
19. Litvinov I. (C)	97. Kholodilin N.
54. Avramov F.	12. Buruyanov N.
Line 3
24. Salnikov E.	87. Dmitriyev S.
18. Zotov F.	32. Maryshev A.
96. Kurkin M.	10. Tkachenko P. (A)
15. Putilov A.	7. Kukstel P.
17. Kovalchuk P.	92. Yarovoi S.
Line 4
92. Gatiyatulin I.	9. Frolov S.
8. Vikulin K.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
10. Shindyaev K.	84. Nasretdinov M.
33. Ryzhkov M.	91. Zamula M.
79. Timashev I.
Substitutes
60. Ovcharik D. (G)	1. Kanayev P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:10, 0 - 1, Yarovoi S. (G), Kukstel P. (A), Tkachenko P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
11:23, 0 - 2, Kholodilin N. (G), Lukin K. (A),
17:22, 0 - 3, Krovyakov M. (G),
18:49, 0 - 4, Lukin K. (G), Kholodilin N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yuzhny Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khimik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:60. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.7:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
25.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2 OT ✺
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
10.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWWL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
23.12.25	Chelmet - Khimik	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Khimik - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Khimik - Izhstal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.11.25	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
13.01.25	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:1
04.11.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	4:3 OT
20.01.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	3:4 OT
01.10.23	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 penalties
04.12.22	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT
10.11.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	3:1

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