Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	3.08	3.85	2.07	Watch
	2.85	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.42)	3.85 ↑ (3.63)	2.04 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
31%

Draw
23.9%

Torpedo-Gorky
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuzhny Ural Orsk's form might have worsened.

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo-Gorky's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuzhny Ural Orsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
88. Krylov I. (A)	33. Bochkov I. (C)
29. Papst R.	59. Nikitin Y.
41. Paramonov D.	68. Garayev A.
91. Suslov K. (A)	87. Opalev R. (A)
51. Kulyash D.	66. Misnikov A.
Line 2
85. Lugovyak S.	81. Varlakov A.
27. Ostrovsky S.	5. Zharkov I.
11. Mylnikov D.	70. Gazizov R.
19. Litvinov I. (C)	58. Ilyin D. (A)
54. Avramov F.	67. Savunov D.
Line 3
9. Sitnikov V.	19. Anisimov A.
18. Zotov F.	3. Steklov K.
77. Zakharov I.	97. Mayorov N.
15. Putilov A.	89. Stalnov D.
98. Kuimov Y.	41. Fyodorov V.
Line 4
92. Gatiyatulin I.	25. Ipatov M.
10. Shindyaev K.	10. Odinokov S.
79. Timashev I.	84. Utkin M.
16. Rubtsov S.	23. Chesnokov G.
Substitutes
60. Ovcharik D. (G)	22. Golan I.
8. Vikulin K.	1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:13, 1 - 0, Mylnikov D. (G), Avramov F. (A), Ostrovsky S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:57, 1 - 1, Savunov D. (G), Varlakov A. (A), Garayev A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:56, 1 - 2, Garayev A. (G), Steklov K. (A), Opalev R. (A2)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Yuzhny Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torpedo-Gorky might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home match between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
10.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLL
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chelmet - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
19.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
15.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Toros Neftekamsk	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Izhstal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.11.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:3
VHL
09.01.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1
10.11.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1 OT
20.10.19	Torpedo-Gorky - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1

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