Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.72	2.98
	1.99	4.05	3.15	Watch
	2	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.92 ↓ (3.94)	3.11 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
46.2%

Draw
23.8%

Torpedo-Gorky
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

23.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Torpedo-Gorky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Gornyak UGMK - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	19. Anisimov A.
26. Ishimnikov N.	3. Steklov K.
76. Kashtanov A.	70. Gazizov R.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	58. Ilyin D. (A)
80. Demidovich V.	66. Misnikov A.
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y. (A)	65. Chesnokov I.
72. Trofimov Y.	81. Varlakov A.
56. Ovchinnikov I.	68. Garayev A.
14. Makhrin M. (A)	87. Opalev R. (A)
44. Lukhovskoy N.	67. Savunov D.
Line 3
90. Nekrasov N.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
3. Zubarev A.	5. Zharkov I.
29. Khremkin K.	97. Mayorov N.
10. Filyayev V.	89. Stalnov D.
32. Borisov S.	41. Fyodorov V.
Line 4
62. Shchuchinov A.	72. Iritsyan A.
83. Karpovich D.	93. Pugachyov G.
19. Chernikov Y.	84. Utkin M.
79. Tarasov M.	23. Chesnokov G.
96. Miller N.
Substitutes
35. Tulinov N. (G)	10. Odinokov S.
	1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:15, 1 - 0, Ovchinnikov I. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:45, 1 - 1, Pugachyov G. (G), Odinokov S. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
19:59, 1 - 2, Bochkov I. (G), Gazizov R. (A), Utkin M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:29, 2 - 2, Ovchinnikov I. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Ovchinnikov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Pugachyov G. (Penalty Shot),
2, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Misnikov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),
3, Savunov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lukhovskoy N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Garayev A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Torpedo-Gorky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Torpedo-Gorky has had a series of home games.

Gornyak-UGMK could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 4.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
14.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	7:3 ✺
05.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	1:4 ✺
03.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
15.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Toros Neftekamsk	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Izhstal	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:5 ✺
09.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Molot Perm	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Torpedo-Gorky	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.11.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Gornyak-UGMK	4:5 penalties
05.01.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Gornyak-UGMK	4:5 OT
14.11.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky	5:4
18.10.19	Torpedo-Gorky - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2

Gornyak-UGMK - Torpedo-Gorky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide