The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo-Gorky 59.2%
Draw 21.3%
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
19.4%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
21.9%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo-Gorky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Torpedo Gorky - Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)
3. Steklov K.
4. Fedotov A. (C)
24. Pelevin A.
36. Aksyonov A.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
59. Sorokin D.
87. Opalev R. (A)
26. Fischenko I. (A)
9. Krutov A.
86. Korobintsev V.
Line 2
33. Bochkov I. (C)
91. Lyakhov A.
81. Varlakov A.
79. Gusev M. M.
10. Odinokov S.
87. Pereskokov V.
41. Fyodorov V.
77. Peshekhonov V.
71. Rozhkov N. A.
69. Remov A.
Line 3
17. Alexandrov D.
74. Antipin V.
59. Nikitin Y.
89. Gainullin I.
70. Gazizov R.
34. Ponomaryov T.
58. Ilyin D. (A)
25. Pikov M. (A)
66. Misnikov A.
24. Pishchalnikov P.
Line 4
5. Zharkov I.
47. Bychkov M.
93. Pugachyov G.
18. Tolpegin D.
84. Utkin M.
16. Pasmanik L.
23. Chesnokov G.
14. Drobin A.
9. Nikitin V.
Substitutes
22. Golan I.
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
74. Sabitov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
01:20, 1 - 0, Ilyin D. (G), Misnikov A. (A),
08:22, 2 - 0, Rozhkov N. A. (Penalty Shot),
09:50, 3 - 0, Gazizov R. (G), Ilyin D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:55, 3 - 1, Lyakhov A. (G), Peshekhonov V. (A), Korobintsev V. (A2)
10:39, 3 - 2, Remov A. (G), Pereskokov V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:25, 3 - 3, Fischenko I. (G), Pereskokov V. (A), Gusev M. M. (A2)
10:21, 3 - 4, Sorokin D. (G), Drobin A. (A), Gusev M. M. (A2)
18:48, 3 - 5, Fischenko I. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 3.
Recent form of Torpedo-Gorky has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kirovo-Chepetsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kirovo-Chepetsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Torpedo-Gorky has had a series of away games.
In this match, Torpedo-Gorky is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 5.02 are the expected chance of winning is 18.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Dagestansky D. (G) 
Golan I. 
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