Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan)


	Zauralie Kurgan		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.88	4.42
	1.54	4.34	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)	4.11 ↓ (4.3)	4.89 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
58.5%

Draw
22.6%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

21.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Zauralie Kurgan - Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Gorbunov I. (G)	33. Kuzin A. S. (G)
3. Shikun A.	91. Lyakhov A.
79. Isayev I. (C)	79. Gusev M. M.
13. Ugolnikov A.	59. Sorokin D.
93. Kozlov I.	26. Fischenko I. (A)
17. Lipanov A.	86. Korobintsev V.
Line 2
67. Vasilyev K.	3. Yepishin M.
77. Belyakov F. (A)	4. Fedotov A. (C)
11. Ryzhov K.	24. Pishchalnikov P.
34. Tagirov K.	9. Nikitin V.
74. Govorkov M.	69. Remov A.
Line 3
61. Kozhemyakin G.	89. Gainullin I.
16. Avvakumov I.	74. Antipin V.
99. Kolesnikov S.	61. Valitsky I.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	25. Pikov M. (A)
87. Nizovtsev S.	34. Ponomaryov T.
Line 4
50. Pozhidaev A.	18. Tolpegin D.
82. Shiryayev I.	36. Aksyonov A.
98. Govorkov R.	10. Kandakov D.
7. Baldayev D.	14. Drobin A.
	72. Ivanov A.
Substitutes
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	1. Chechelev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
16:40, 1 - 0, Kolesnikov S. (G), Vasilyev K. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
17:54, 1 - 1, Korobintsev V. (G), Fischenko I. (A), Gusev M. M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:53, 1 - 2, Pikov M. (G), Gainullin I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:20, 2 - 2, Ugolnikov A. (G), Lipanov A. (A), Shiryayev I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

In recent matches, Zauralie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kirovo-Chepetsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kirovo-Chepetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zauralie is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Zauralie will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 4.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Zauralie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
11.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
09.11.25	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4 OT ✺
07.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Torpedo-Gorky	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
15.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Buran Voronezh	3:4 penalties ✺
06.11.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Rostov	4:0 ✺
04.11.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.02.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:4
22.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 penalties

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