Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Boris Alexandrov Sports Palace (Oskemen)


	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk		Saryarka

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.9	2.85
	1.98	4.05	2.81
	2.05	3.75	3	Watch
	1.85	4.2	2.88
	2	4.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)	3.99 ↓ (4.54)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
45.8%

Draw
22.7%

Saryarka
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

20.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The chances for Saryarka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk - Saryarka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kakenov R. (G)	30. Ibragimov Z. (G)
67. Aldabergenov E.	49. Barbashev S.
11. Alexandrov S.	72. Bazhenov N.
8. Borovikov S.	16. Borisevich A.
85. Bykov D.	61. Dyomin R.
3. Gavrilenko I.	10. Fazleyev R.
71. Glukhikh A.	63. Khripkov Y.
37. Grebenschikov V.	36. Korolinsky Y.
92. Grents D.	7. Kozorez A.
94. Kairov D.	71. Kuzmenko Y.
55. Khoroshev F.	17. Likhotnikov A.
13. Klyauzov I.	96. Mikhaylov E.
16. Kolobov N.	19. Palmtag K.
24. Musorov M.	11. Parkhomenko Z.
15. Panchenko A.	86. Ponomaryov I.
19. Rakhmanov M.	33. Shulga V.
7. Rifel S.	3. Siksna E.
52. Runov A.	77. Smolyaninov Y.
98. Rysbekov D.	88. Stepanenko I.
65. Ryzhy I.	92. Stepanov M.
77. Tyutyunkov Y.	18. Volkov V.
Substitutes
1. Pestov V. (G)	90. Kadochnikov D. (G)
20. Yankov A. (G)	20. Pakholenko D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:36, 1 - 0, Aldabergenov E. (G), Khoroshev F. (A), Panchenko A. (A2)
08:46, 1 - 1, Siksna E. (G), Kuzmenko Y. (A), Borisevich A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:06, 1 - 2, Korolinsky Y. (G),

Preview

Saryarka Karaganda leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1.

Recent performances by Torpedo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saryarka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torpedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 60:50. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Torpedo	16	8	3	2	3	67:36	24
5	Karaganda	16	9	1	1	5	69:41	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
24.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	2:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	6:2 ✺
03.03.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW
- HC Saryarka
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
24.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	2:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	6:2 ✺
06.03.26	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
24.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:1
22.03.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2
19.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	2:3 OT
17.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	6:2
26.01.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2
25.01.26	Saryarka - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:5
29.10.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	2:1

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