Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday


	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.85	2.11
	3	4	2.05
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.87	3.64	1.97
	3.07	4.03	2.04
	2.75	3.8	2.1
	3.04	3.78	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
31.6%

Draw
24%

Zvezda Moscow
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

19.8%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zvezda Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
VHL
26.02.20	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 OT ✺
23.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:1 OT ✺
22.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:2 ✺
18.02.20	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:3 ✺
16.02.20	Ermak Angarsk - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
26.02.20	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 OT ✺
23.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:1 OT ✺
22.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:2 ✺
18.02.20	Ryazan - Zvezda Moscow	2:4 ✺
16.02.20	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
26.02.20	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 OT
23.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:1 OT
22.02.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:2
11.01.20	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	4:3 penalties
30.11.18	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
08.09.18	Zvezda Moscow - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2 penalties
18.01.18	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 penalties

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