Match Info

KHL

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Traktor Arena (Chelyabinsk) 🌤️ ...


	Traktor Chelyabinsk		Ak Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.68	2.62
	2.35	3.6	2.55
	2.61	4.22	2.34	Watch
	2.55	3.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.86)	3.83 ↓ (4.34)	2.45 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Traktor Chelyabinsk
37.6%

Draw
24.4%

Ak Bars Kazan
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

22.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

21.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ak Bars Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ak Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Traktor Chelyabinsk - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Traktor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Traktor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Haukeland H. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)
79. Savelyev A.	58. Miller M.
2. Dronov G. (A)	96. Lyamkin N. (A)
90. Soshnikov N.	29. Yakupov R.
87. Svetlakov A. (C)	55. Chmelevski A.
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.	94. Semyonov K. (A)
Line 2
84. Vydrenkov I.	28. Terekhov S.
72. Telegin S.	53. Marchenko A. (C)
94. Grigorenko M.	14. Denisenko G.
29. Legare N. (A)	16. Zernov D.
13. Katchouk B.	59. Terekhov S.
Line 3
82. Pribylsky A.	33. Yarullin A.
9. Valentsov V.	44. Yevseyev N.
97. Matyushin A.	22. Byvaltsev A.
11. Gorbunov S.	50. Komkov D.
7. Dzhioshvili M.	71. Pustozyorov A.
Line 4
77. Rodionov M.	64. Nikitin K.
37. Udot A.	23. Stas A.
25. Zharkov V.	86. Dynyak N.
16. Shen A.	92. Katelevsky D.
Substitutes
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	98. Saberzyanov M.
	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Gordon S.	. Gatiyatulin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
02:04, Komkov D. (2 min),
07:43, Rodionov M. (2 min),
11:32, Lyamkin N. (2 min),
11:59, Dzhioshvili M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:55, 1 - 0, Legare N. (G), Grigorenko M. (A), Katchouk B. (A2)
10:15, 2 - 0, Vydrenkov I. (G), Zharkov V. (A),
15:11, Terekhov S. (2 min),
15:30, Dynyak N. (2 min),
18:54, Valentsov V. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:00, Byvaltsev A. (2 min),
11:05, 2 - 1, Yakupov R. (G), Stas A. (A),
19:39, 3 - 1, Katchouk B. (G),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 2.

Traktor is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ak Bars has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Traktor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Traktor has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:55 (averaging 2.2:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Traktor against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 23:17 goals (averaging 2.6:1.9 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Bars Kazan: 5.58% Tractor Chelyabinsk: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Traktor Chelyabinsk
KHL
18.10.26	Avangard Omsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 penalties ✺
16.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 AET ✺
14.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:6 ✺
10.10.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Amur Khabarovsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
21.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 penalties ✺
18.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Ak Bars Kazan	1:4 ✺
16.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
12.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
02.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:3
09.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1
31.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 OT
29.03.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 OT
27.03.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2
25.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:2
23.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 OT

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