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Current Win Probability
Avangard Omsk 53.1%
Draw 23.2%
Traktor Chelyabinsk 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
22.5%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
23.4%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Traktor Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Avangard Omsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Avangard will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Traktor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avangard: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avangard Omsk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
54. Serebryakov N. (G)
70. Nikolayev D. (G)
55. Cecconi J.
26. Day L.
44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)
2. Dronov G. (A)
53. Kotlyarevsky M.
74. Kravtsov V.
14. Igumnov I. (A)
87. Svetlakov A.
70. Martynov I.
7. Dzhioshvili M.
Line 2
66. Chistyakov S.
72. Telegin S.
84. Gulyaev M.
67. Cajkovsky M.
96. Rashevsky D.
94. Grigorenko M. (A)
74. Prokhorkin N.
97. Glotov V.
65. Yakupov N. (A)
90. Leivo J.
Line 3
26. Voynov V.
42. Yusupov V.
58. Lajoie M.
48. Koromyslov A.
23. Pilipenko K.
71. Kisakov A.
92. Ponomaryov V.
78. Kadeykin A. (C)
17. Okulov K.
96. Korshkov Y.
Line 4
28. Ibragimov M.
82. Pribylsky A.
22. Poturalski A.
25. Zharkov V.
9. McLeod M.
19. Nikonov A.
13. Fiore G.
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.
Substitutes
1. Mishurov A. (G)
83. Gorbunov S.
20. Mylnikov S. (G)
Coaches
. Boucher G.
. Koreshkov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:55, 0 - 1, Dronov G. (G),
11:41, 1 - 1, Fiore G. (G), Poturalski A. (A), McLeod M. (A2)
18:04, Chistyakov S. (2 min),
18:55, 2 - 1, Fiore G. (G), Sharipzyanov D. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
07:21, 3 - 1, Prokhorkin N. (G), Yakupov N. (A), Sharipzyanov D. (A2)
08:45, Pilipenko K. (2 min),
12:50, Leivo J. (2 min),
15:27, 4 - 1, Igumnov I. (G), Martynov I. (A), Kotlyarevsky M. (A2)
17:50, 4 - 2, Dzhioshvili M. (G), Svetlakov A. (A), Kravtsov V. (A2)
19:43, 5 - 2, McLeod M. (G), Poturalski A. (A), Fiore G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:24, (2 min),
15:54, Dronov G. (2 min),
15:54, Poturalski A. (2 min),
16:00, 6 - 2, McLeod M. (G), Sharipzyanov D. (A), Okulov K. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Avangard is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 4.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Traktor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Avangard is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 55:60. (average 2.8:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Avangard won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 2.6:3.3).
Outrights of KHL for now
Avangard Omsk: 13.3% Tractor Chelyabinsk: 2.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Avangard Omsk - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Traktor Chelyabinsk - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Serebryakov N. (G) 
Cecconi J. 
Martynov I. 
Cajkovsky M. 
Leivo J. 
Koreshkov Y. 
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