Match Info

Mestis

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Rajupaja Areena (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	TuTo		RoKi

	1	X	2
	2.18	4.05	2.7	Watch
	2.12	3.53	2.67
	2.2	3.86	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.8	2.6
	2.13	3.94	2.73	Watch
	2.15	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.48)	3.84 ↓ (3.96)	2.7 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

TuTo
42.4%

Draw
23.8%

RoKi
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

23.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RoKi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

TuTo - RoKi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Helomaa J. (G)	40. Huunonen R. (G)
48. Vuorela J. (A)	55. Kenttamaa A. (C)
6. Tukiainen J.	84. Gronlund N.
15. Markkula S. (C)	39. Niemi E.
11. Valila E. (A)	93. Jarvela J.
23. Trakht D.	15. Kaarela E. (A)
Line 2
63. Reini R.	18. Siira L.
44. Vuori T.	28. Virtanen E.
14. Lindholm V.	91. Mikkola M.
24. Pennanen A.	19. Orn T.
19. Korhonen J.	21. Alanko T.
Line 3
5. Karppinen I.	5. Antikainen A.
62. Kulmala F.	78. Haataja V.
21. Virta S.	71. Boucher E.
34. Hameenaho V.	77. Sikorski A.
54. Tervo E.	87. Ruusunen R.
Line 4
28. Valila E.	44. Lamsa J.
72. Huumo V.	90. Turppa T.
51. Rannikko O.	23. Heinonen J.
	82. Korsumaki A.
Substitutes
9. Rantanen N.	1. Hyypia E. (G)
30. Selin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:05, 0 - 1, Kaarela E. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:35, 1 - 1, Markkula S. (G), Reini R. (A), Korhonen J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:06, 2 - 1, Vuori T. (G), Markkula S. (A),
19:50, 3 - 1, Vuori T. (G), Rannikko O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

RoKi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, TuTo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:46. (average 2.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, TuTo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15

Last Results with these Odds

TuTo - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

RoKi - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
07.02.26	KeuPa - TuTo	4:3 OT ✺
06.02.26	TuTo - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	TuTo - Nokian Pyry	0:3 ✺
28.01.26	TuTo - Imatran Ketterä	5:3 ✺
24.01.26	TuTo - Jokerit	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
07.02.26	RoKi - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:3 ✺
03.02.26	RoKi - IPK	3:4 OT ✺
31.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - RoKi	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	RoKi - Nokian Pyry	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
20.12.25	RoKi - TuTo	1:2
22.11.25	TuTo - RoKi	5:1
25.10.25	RoKi - TuTo	4:2
20.09.25	RoKi - TuTo	2:1 OT
01.02.25	TuTo - RoKi	5:1
31.01.25	TuTo - RoKi	4:1
01.11.24	TuTo - RoKi	2:4

Upcoming Matches