Match Info

Mestis

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rajupaja Areena (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	TuTo		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.4	1.72
	3.42	3.77	1.72
	3.72	4.29	1.76	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.52	4.55	1.71	Watch
	3.4	4.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.39)	4.24 ↓ (4.49)	1.72 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuTo
25.6%

Draw
21.4%

Jokerit
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

20.7%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jokerit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

TuTo - Jokerit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Helomaa J. (G)	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
48. Vuorela J. (A)	73. Tuhkanen O.
6. Tukiainen J.	52. Tuomola R.
15. Markkula S. (A)	40. Suni O.
11. Valila E.	22. Forslund A.
22. Karnaranta V.	9. Salonen S.
Line 2
63. Reini R.	47. Forsblom S. (C)
44. Vuori T.	12. Tumanovs M.
23. Trakht D.	25. Leskinen V.
24. Pennanen A.	92. Mustonen A.
19. Korhonen J.	26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
7. Vare S.	41. Manninen O. (A)
62. Kulmala F.	53. Elorinne A. (A)
28. Valila E.	77. Virtanen J.
34. Hameenaho V.	19. Nalli M.
14. Lindholm V.	80. Vainikainen V.
Line 4
26. Karjalainen N. (C)	2. Rantakari O.
51. Rannikko O.	20. Lahnaviik R.
72. Huumo V.	16. Henritius T.
21. Virta S.	14. Liuksiala J.
Substitutes
30. Selin L. (G)	37. Heikkeri S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:12, 0 - 1, Forslund A. (G), Mustonen A. (A), Suni O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:40, 0 - 2, Suni O. (G), Forslund A. (A), Nalli M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:22, 0 - 3, Suni O. (G), Elorinne A. (A), Forslund A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 2.

TuTo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jokerit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, TuTo has had a series of away games.

Recently, Jokerit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jokerit is considered a favorite.

We predict that Jokerit will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 39:63. (average 2.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, TuTo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 2.3:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
23.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
17.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - TuTo	4:3 penalties ✺
16.01.26	IPK - TuTo	2:5 ✺
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
09.01.26	TuTo - KeuPa	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
23.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
20.01.26	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	3:4 ✺
16.01.26	Jokerit - RoKi	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
08.01.26	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
23.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3
29.11.25	TuTo - Jokerit	2:3 OT
26.09.25	TuTo - Jokerit	2:0
13.09.25	Jokerit - TuTo	1:3
06.03.25	Jokerit - TuTo	4:2
05.03.25	TuTo - Jokerit	3:6

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