Match Info

AHL

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mechanics Bank Arena (Bakersfield, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Bakersfield Condors		Tucson Roadrunners

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.6	Watch
	2.19	4.05	2.65
	2.2	4.3	2.63
	2.17	4.36	2.63	Watch
	2.1	4	2.7
	2.18	4.35	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	4.21 ↑ (4.09)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakersfield Condors
43%

Draw
22%

Tucson Roadrunners
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

22.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pickard C. (G)	31. Villalta M. (G)
44. Brown J. (A)	29. Agozzino A. (A)
66. Brown M.	50. But D.
73. Carfagna D.	39. Hebig C.
64. Clattenburg C.	10. Lamoureux M.
19. D'Amato D.	71. Lipkin S.
55. Dineen C.	43. Lutz J.
39. Griffith S. (C)	72. Luypen J.
52. Hamblin J.	22. McCartney B. (A)
53. Howard I.	42. Moore L.
23. Hutson Q.	45. Nordh N.
15. Jarventie R.	79. Onyebuchi M.
63. Keppen E.	7. Perunovich S.
37. Leppanen A.	27. Poganski A. (C)
57. Marjala V.	15. Ricketts J.
43. Petrov M.	5. Russo R.
8. Poulin S.	55. Szuber M.
75. Regula A.	17. Tullio T.
61. Stillman R. (A)	25. Walker S.
Substitutes
90. Tomkins M. (G)	30. Stauber J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:52, 1 - 0, Keppen E. (G), Stillman R. (A), Brown M. (A2)
04:18, 1 - 1, Agozzino A. (G), Poganski A. (A), Lamoureux M. (A2)
09:59, 2 - 1, Howard I. (G), Marjala V. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:21, 3 - 1, D'Amato D. (G), Petrov M. (A), Poulin S. (A2)
05:32, 3 - 2, Russo R. (G), Ricketts J. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
19', 4 - 2, (G),
20', 5 - 2, (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 3.

Recent performances by Bakersfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tucson's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 3.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 3.4:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bakersfield Condors
AHL
04.04.26	Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors	6:3 ✺
03.04.26	San Diego Gulls - Bakersfield Condors	6:3 ✺
01.04.26	Bakersfield Condors - Colorado Eagles	2:5 ✺
28.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars	6:3 ✺
27.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
04.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 ✺
01.04.26	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign	4:2 ✺
27.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:0
06.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:3 OT
13.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	7:8 OT
12.12.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:4 OT
03.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1
25.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	1:3
24.10.25	Tucson Roadrunners - Bakersfield Condors	5:1

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