Match Info

MHL

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Tyumensky Legion		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	8.6	7.1	1.25
	8.6	7.2	1.21	Watch
	8.2	6.6	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.47 ↑ (8.25)	6.97 ↓ (7.7)	1.22 (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumensky Legion
10.9%

Draw
13.3%

Tolpar
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

12.1%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumensky Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tyumensky Legion - Tolpar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 - Tyumensky Legion (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tyumensky Legion (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Ponomaryov O. (G)	30. Povarov M. (G)
76. Kartashov A. (A)	16. Khusainov R.
79. Bykov N.	23. Khafzetdinov A. (A)
19. Eliseev I.	28. Akhsyanov B.
60. Nurmagamedov R.	37. Zagrebin M. (C)
72. Yepifanov M. (A)	97. Faizov A. (A)
Line 2
74. Biketov D.	24. Karasyov M.
75. Dementyev L.	36. Gunkin Y.
52. Yanovsky I. (C)	9. Petrenko D.
81. Karpov S.	74. Adamyan A.
91. Redko R.	87. Buzdyganov V.
Line 3
4. Zakharov A.	86. Volkov D.
61. Magdich N.	13. Korenev D.
77. Ozhgibetsev N.	18. Kireyev R.
95. Lebedev A.	47. Fogelnest M.
97. Sychugov D.
Line 4
15. Dubrovsky D.	58. Plotnikov D.
47. Chizhikov N.	26. Degtyarev M.
88. Vakhit D.	63. Makarkin A.
	75. Shebyakin M.
Substitutes
98. Klochanov A.	67. Khabibullin A.
71. Maslennikov I.	99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
	78. Zhuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:55, 0 - 1, Adamyan A. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 4)
01:33, 0 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Fogelnest M. (A),
08:35, 0 - 3, Buzdyganov V. (G), Karasyov M. (A), Fogelnest M. (A2)
18:38, 0 - 4, Faizov A. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A),
19:49, 0 - 5, Petrenko D. (G), Korenev D. (A), Volkov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:07, 0 - 6, Faizov A. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A),
18:27, 0 - 7, Khabibullin A. (G), Adamyan A. (A), Zhuk A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 0.

Tyumensky Legion is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tolpar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tyumensky Legion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tolpar is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 28:98. (average 1.4:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tyumensky Legion won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:39. (average 1.2:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyumensky Legion
MHL
01.10.25	Tyumensky Legion - Stalnye Lisy	0:8 ✺
23.09.25	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	7:3 ✺
20.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Tyumensky Legion	9:2 ✺
18.09.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	6:1 ✺
09.09.25	Tyumensky Legion - AKM-Junior	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
01.10.25	Molot Perm - Tolpar	3:6 ✺
28.09.25	Snezhnye Barsy - Tolpar	0:4 ✺
23.09.25	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	7:3 ✺
18.09.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - Tolpar	2:3 OT ✺
15.09.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
23.09.25	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	7:3
14.01.25	Tyumensky Legion - Tolpar	1:4
13.01.25	Tyumensky Legion - Tolpar	1:4
12.10.24	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	6:2
11.10.24	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	6:0
13.02.24	Tyumensky Legion - Tolpar	2:1
10.11.23	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	7:5

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