Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 21

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	UKH Unia Oświęcim		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.05	5.45	Watch
	1.36	5.09	5.68
	1.38	5.17	5.99	Watch
	1.42	4.9	5.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	5.05 ↓ (5.17)	5.6 ↓ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UKH Unia Oświęcim
65.8%

Draw
18%

Polonia Bytom
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

17.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

17.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

UKH Unia Oświęcim - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
65. Lundin L. (G)	30. Dyachenko B. (G)
6. Kubes J.	17. Gorny K.
9. Dyukov R.	88. Zalamay D.
82. Kasperlik M.	13. Sawicki R.
89. Rac R.	9. Jarosz D.
87. Peresunko A.	61. Zajac M.
Line 2
59. Makela A.	77. Osenieks E.
5. Florczak B.	76. Karjalainen L.
97. Kusak M.	29. Lehtimaki M.
55. Heikkinen V.	94. Mroczkowski C.
25. Ahopelto E.	12. Buyalsky A.
Line 3
40. Moscicki M.	6. Kamenev Y.
57. Soderberg A.	64. Bieniek S.
29. Petras S.	21. Padakin P.
21. Olsson-Trkulja D.	97. Bajon P.
44. Krzemien L.	27. Wybiral P.
Line 4
13. Prokopiak K.	8. Bodora A.
14. Prusak A.	34. Musiol D.
24. Galant R.	96. Musiol J.
7. Ziober A.	26. Kasprzyk D.
	10. Wicher S.
Substitutes
31. Tyczynski I. (G)	1. Jaworski T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:56, 0 - 1, Lehtimaki M. (G), Karjalainen L. (A), Zajac M. (A2)
10:15, 1 - 1, Petras S. (G), Olsson-Trkulja D. (A), Krzemien L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:35, 1 - 2, Mroczkowski C. (G), Wybiral P. (A), Gorny K. (A2)
11:03, 1 - 3, Wybiral P. (G), Padakin P. (A), Kamenev Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:33, 1 - 4, Karjalainen L. (G), Lehtimaki M. (A), Zajac M. (A2)
18:17, 2 - 4, Galant R. (G), Heikkinen V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bytom has had a series of away games.

In this match, Unia is considered a favorite.

We predict that Unia will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 99:56. (average 5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:25. (average 5.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UKH Unia Oświęcim
Polska Liga Hokejowa
16.11.25	KH Sanok - UKH Unia Oświęcim	0:4 ✺
14.11.25	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	UKH Unia Oświęcim - ComArch Cracovia	5:1 ✺
31.10.25	TKH Toruń - UKH Unia Oświęcim	6:5 penalties ✺
24.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - UKH Unia Oświęcim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- HC Polonia Bytom
Polska Liga Hokejowa
18.11.25	TKH Toruń - Polonia Bytom	2:4 ✺
16.11.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	GKS Katowice - Polonia Bytom	4:2 ✺
02.11.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	4:2 ✺
26.10.25	Polonia Bytom - KH Sanok	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polska Liga Hokejowa
17.10.25	Polonia Bytom - UKH Unia Oświęcim	4:1
19.09.25	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Polonia Bytom	4:2
25.01.19	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Polonia Bytom	7:2
25.11.18	Polonia Bytom - UKH Unia Oświęcim	1:5
18.11.18	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Polonia Bytom	6:2
16.09.18	Polonia Bytom - UKH Unia Oświęcim	5:4
11.02.18	Polonia Bytom - UKH Unia Oświęcim	4:3 OT

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