Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Telia, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Toronto Maple Leafs		Utah Mammoth

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	3.1	Watch
	2	4.42	3.05
	2.09	4.4	2.95
	2.24	4.35	2.62	Watch
	2.02	4.57	3.15
	1.98	4.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.24)	4.34 ↓ (4.35)	3 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Maple Leafs
46.3%

Draw
21.9%

Utah Mammoth
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

21.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Utah Mammoth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Utah will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Utah (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Utah (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Stolarz A. (G)	41. Vanecek V. (G)
25. Carlo B.	26. Simashev D.
44. Rielly M. (A)	98. Sergachyov M. (A)
88. Nylander W.	8. Schmaltz N.
34. Matthews A. (C)	27. Hayton B.
23. Knies M.	9. Keller C. (C)
Line 2
22. McCabe J.	6. Marino J.
2. Benoit S.	88. Schmidt N.
74. McMann B.	11. Guenther D.
91. Tavares J. (A)	92. Cooley L.
89. Robertson N.	77. Peterka J.
Line 3
51. Myers P.	2. Maatta O.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.	28. Cole I.
63. Maccelli M.	53. Carcone M.
55. Roy N.	22. McBain J.
81. Joshua D.	67. Crouse L. (A)
Line 4
11. Domi M.	56. Yamamoto K.
24. Laughton S.	82. Stenlund K.
18. Lorentz S.	13. Tanev B.
Substitutes
30. Primeau C. (G)	70. Vejmelka K. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.	. Tourigny A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:56, Tavares J. (2 min),
18:49, 0 - 1, Carcone M. (G), Crouse L. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:46, 1 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Knies M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
08:56, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Maccelli M. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
10:35, Laughton S. (2 min),
13:05, Carlo B. (2 min),
16:27, 2 - 2, Sergachyov M. (G), Simashev D. (A),
20:00, McBain J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
08:06, 3 - 2, Tavares J. (G), McMann B. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
15:40, 4 - 2, Maccelli M. (G), Joshua D. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
17:01, 5 - 2, Knies M. (G), Nylander W. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
18:53, 5 - 3, Guenther D. (G), Schmidt N. (A), Marino J. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Toronto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Utah has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Utah has had a series of away games.

Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Lorentz S. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Utah: Durzi S. (Shoulder Injury) Kerfoot A. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Toronto: Laughton S. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Toronto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
03.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:5 ✺
29.10.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:3 ✺
28.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames	4:3 ✺
25.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Utah Mammoth
NHL
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT ✺
02.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4 ✺
28.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Utah Mammoth	6:3 ✺
26.10.25	Winnipeg Jets - Utah Mammoth	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Utah Mammoth	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
10.03.25	Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:4 penalties
24.11.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth	3:2

Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide