Match Info

NHL

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ottawa Senators		Utah Mammoth

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.55	Watch
	2.39	4.29	2.49
	2.45	4.3	2.47
	2.21	4.55	2.59	Watch
	2.44	4.47	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.26)	4.32 ↓ (4.62)	2.52 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
40.1%

Draw
22.1%

Utah Mammoth
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

21%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

20.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Ottawa Senators - Utah Mammoth Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Utah (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Merilainen L. (G)	41. Vanecek V. (G)
2. Zub A.	26. Simashev D.
85. Sanderson J. (A)	98. Sergachyov M. (A)
57. Perron D.	8. Schmaltz N.
18. Stutzle T.	92. Cooley L.
71. Greig R.	9. Keller C. (C)
Line 2
3. Jensen N.	6. Marino J.
72. Chabot T. (A)	88. Schmidt N.
19. Batherson D.	11. Guenther D.
24. Cozens D.	27. Hayton B.
20. Zetterlund F.	77. Peterka J.
Line 3
10. Spence J.	28. Cole I.
43. Kleven T.	57. Desimone N.
28. Giroux C. (A)	53. Carcone M.
12. Pinto S.	22. McBain J.
22. Amadio M.	67. Crouse L. (A)
Line 4
21. Cousins N.	56. Yamamoto K.
89. Eller L.	82. Stenlund K.
42. Hodgson H.	13. Tanev B.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)	70. Vejmelka K. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Tourigny A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:22, Peterka J. (2 min),
08:22, Cousins N. (2 min),
13:59, 1 - 0, Greig R. (G), Cozens D. (A),
15:31, Pinto S. (2 min),
17:33, 1 - 1, Keller C. (G), Sergachyov M. (A), Vanecek V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:46, Hayton B. (2 min),
07:13, 2 - 1, Spence J. (G), Perron D. (A),
15:52, 3 - 1, Cousins N. (G), Cozens D. (A), Greig R. (A2)
18:56, 3 - 2, Schmaltz N. (G), Cooley L. (A), Desimone N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:46, 4 - 2, Amadio M. (G), Chabot T. (A), Spence J. (A2)
13:54, Carcone M. (2 min),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Ottawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utah's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Utah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Utah: Durzi S. (Shoulder Injury) Kerfoot A. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ottawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.93%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
08.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT ✺
06.11.25	Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators	3:2 OT ✺
01.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT ✺
30.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames	4:3 penalties ✺
28.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- Utah Mammoth
NHL
08.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Utah Mammoth	6:2 ✺
05.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth	5:3 ✺
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT ✺
02.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4 ✺
28.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Utah Mammoth	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
26.01.25	Ottawa Senators - Utah Mammoth	3:1
22.10.24	Utah Mammoth - Ottawa Senators	0:4

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