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Current Win Probability
Utah Mammoth 52.1%
Draw 20.9%
New York Islanders 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
21.7%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
21.3%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utah Mammoth's performance.
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Islanders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utah Mammoth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Islanders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Utah Mammoth - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - NY Islanders (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - NY Islanders (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - NY Islanders (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Utah (votes: 3 - 33.3%). NY Islanders (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
26. Simashev D.
6. Pulock R. (A)
98. Sergachyov M. (A)
48. Schaefer M.
8. Schmaltz N.
21. Palmieri K.
92. Cooley L.
14. Horvat B. (A)
9. Keller C. (C)
51. Heineman E.
Line 2
6. Marino J.
77. DeAngelo A.
88. Schmidt N.
3. Pelech A.
11. Guenther D.
10. Holmstrom S.
27. Hayton B.
13. Barzal M.
77. Peterka J.
29. Drouin J.
Line 3
57. Desimone N.
34. Boqvist A.
28. Cole I.
28. Romanov A.
53. Carcone M.
11. Duclair A.
22. McBain J.
44. Pageau J.
67. Crouse L. (A)
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 4
56. Yamamoto K.
7. Tsyplakov M.
82. Stenlund K.
64. Ritchie C.
13. Tanev B.
53. Cizikas C.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
05:56, Boqvist A. (2 min),
06:14, Cooley L. (2 min),
07:13, 0 - 1, Heineman E. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Romanov A. (A2)
13:02, 1 - 1, Peterka J. (G), Crouse L. (A), Marino J. (A2)
14:18, (2 min),
17:49, Schaefer M. (2 min),
17:56, Holmstrom S. (2 min),
18:35, 2 - 1, Guenther D. (G), Sergachyov M. (A), Keller C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
10:19, Cooley L. (2 min),
16:55, DeAngelo A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:37, Ritchie C. (2 min),
05:47, DeAngelo A. (2 min),
08:40, McBain J. (2 min),
13:44, 2 - 2, Drouin J. (G), Holmstrom S. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
13:44, DeAngelo A. (10 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:06, 2 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ))
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Utah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Utah has had a series of away games.
Utah could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Utah: Durzi S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kerfoot A.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Shabanov M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Mayfield S.
(Personal Reasons)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Utah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
Including home match between the teams, Utah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.