The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vítkovice Steel 23.2%
Draw 20.3%
Pardubice 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
21.1%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
22.4%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vítkovice Steel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pardubice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
49. Hrachovina D. (G)
35. Will R. (G)
20. Wesley J.
33. Kostalek J.
38. Zboril J. (C)
79. Tourigny M.
21. Yetman C.
89. Mandat J.
19. Nellis A.
23. Sedlak L. (C)
11. Kalus M. (A)
19. Cervenka R. (A)
Line 2
93. Holland R.
41. Ceresnak P. (A)
12. Knazko S.
7. Dvorak T.
22. Fasner S.
93. Stransky M.
27. Hrivik M. (A)
98. Tomasek D.
24. Abdul J.
96. Smejkal J.
Line 3
8. Demel P.
43. Gazda D.
79. Pavelka T.
4. Miklis O.
82. Petr D.
11. Kondelik J.
67. Hladonik J.
92. Nosek T.
81. Cienciala D.
29. Kelemen M.
Line 4
5. Bruna P.
15. Ludvig J.
28. Bernovsky J.
55. Vondracek T.
89. Sir J.
71. Sobotka V.
34. Macias K.
44. Poulicek P.
Substitutes
72. Krivosik F.
32. Subban M. (G)
31. Svancara P. (G)
Coaches
. Treille Y.
. Pesan F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
12:50, Cervenka R. (2 min),
18:22, 1 - 0, Hladonik J. (G), Petr D. (A), Cienciala D. (A2)
19:07, 1 - 1, Nosek T. (G), Ceresnak P. (A), Ludvig J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:09, Wesley J. (2 min),
09:23, 1 - 2, Smejkal J. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Vondracek T. (A2)
13:05, Hrivik M. (2 min),
14:44, 1 - 3, Kostalek J. (G), Cervenka R. (A), Stransky M. (A2)
15:44, Kalus M. (5 min),
15:44, Ludvig J. (5 min),
15:44, Vondracek T. (2 min),
15:44, Demel P. (2 min),
16:32, 2 - 3, Yetman C. (G),
18:52, Tomasek D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:00, Cienciala D. (2 min),
09:56, Kostalek J. (10 min),
14:31, Yetman C. (2 min),
18:33, Mandat J. (2 min),
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 4.
In recent outings, Vítkovice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pardubice is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Pardubice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Pardubice carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Pardubice: Kaut M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Ludvig J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Vítkovice: Abdul J.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Pardubice: Lauko J.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vítkovice has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:65 (averaging 2.5:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vítkovice against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:28 goals (averaging 3:2.8 per game).
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Pardubice: 38.32% Vitkovice: 1.31%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Pardubice
10
8
0
0
2
42:27
24
12
Vitkovice
8
2
0
1
5
21:29
7
Last Results with these Odds
Vítkovice Steel - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.93%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Pardubice - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.95%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.