Match Info

NHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Rogers Arena (Vancouver, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vancouver Canucks		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.4	Watch
	2.52	4.13	2.42
	2.54	4.4	2.37
	2.5	4.4	2.35	Watch
	2.5	4.33	2.38
	2.51	4.42	2.37
	2.5	4.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)	4.28 ↑ (4.27)	2.38 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Canucks
37.8%

Draw
22.2%

Buffalo Sabres
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

22.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Demko T. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
17. Hronek F.	23. Samuelsson M. (A)
43. Hughes Q. (C)	26. Dahlin R. (C)
8. Garland C.	29. Malenstyn B.
64. Kampf D.	72. Thompson T. (A)
6. Boeser B. (A)	19. Krebs P.
Line 2
57. Myers T. (A)	4. Byram B.
25. Pettersson E. II.	21. Timmins C.
44. Sherwood K.	91. Doan J.
18. O'Connor D.	48. Kozak T.
91. Kane E.	6. Benson Z.
Line 3
5. Willander T.	25. Power O.
29. Pettersson M.	78. Bryson J.
94. Karlsson L.	22. Quinn J.
63. Sasson M.	71. McLeod R.
74. DeBrusk J.	63. Rosen I.
Line 4
13. Bains A.	52. Kuntar T.
54. Raty A.	44. Dunne J.
21. Hoglander N.	12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
32. Lankinen K. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. Foote A.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
07:36, 0 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), McLeod R. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
13:40, Bains A. (2 min),
19:17, Quinn J. (2 min),
19:17, Willander T. (2 min),
19:49, 1 - 1, Sherwood K. (G), Garland C. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:15, 2 - 1, Sasson M. (G), DeBrusk J. (A), Pettersson E. II. (A2)
09:12, 2 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Dahlin R. (A),
14:09, Hronek F. (2 min),
14:46, 2 - 3, Benson Z. (G), Doan J. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
15:44, Benson Z. (2 min),
15:44, O'Connor D. (2 min),
19:13, Greenway J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
06:31, Malenstyn B. (2 min),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 4.

Vancouver is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Buffalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T. (Lower-Body Injury) Chytil F. (Upper-Body Injury) Forbort D. (Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems) Zucker J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Joseph P. (Illness) Pettersson E. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Ellis C. (Concussion) Norris J. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:62. (average 3.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.26%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
08.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Detroit Red Wings	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Minnesota Wild	4:2 ✺
05.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Utah Mammoth	1:4 ✺
02.12.25	Colorado Avalanche - Vancouver Canucks	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Los Angeles Kings - Vancouver Canucks	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
09.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	3:4 OT ✺
08.12.25	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	7:4 ✺
05.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	4:1 ✺
03.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.01.25	Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres	2:3
29.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - Vancouver Canucks	3:4 OT
19.03.24	Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres	3:2
13.01.24	Buffalo Sabres - Vancouver Canucks	0:1
15.11.22	Buffalo Sabres - Vancouver Canucks	4:5
22.10.22	Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres	1:5
20.03.22	Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT

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