Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Calgary Flames

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.55	4.3
	1.74	4.7	4.2
	1.65	4.73	4.23	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4
	1.72	4.67	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)	4.56 ↑ (4.27)	4.25 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
56.8%

Draw
20.8%

Calgary Flames
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vegas Golden Knights's performance.

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calgary Flames might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Calgary will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Hart C. (G)	32. Wolf D. (G)
27. Theodore S.	28. Whitecloud Z. (A)
3. McNabb B. (A)	7. Bahl K.
16. Dorofeyev P.	86. Farabee J.
9. Eichel J. (A)	11. Backlund M. (C)
21. Howden B.	20. Coleman B. (A)
Line 2
4. Andersson R.	48. Brzustewicz H.
15. Hanifin N.	3. Maatta O.
61. Stone M. (C)	27. Coronato M.
93. Marner M.	16. Frost M.
49. Barbashev I.	92. Gridin M.
Line 3
6. Korczak K.	19. Parekh Z.
5. Lauzon J.	37. Kuznetsov Y.
10. Sissons C.	95. Olofsson V.
48. Hertl T.	22. Strome R.
19. Smith R.	17. Sharangovich Y.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.	43. Klapka A.
26. Dowd N.	76. Pospisil M.
22. Smith C.	47. Zary C.
Substitutes
40. Schmid A. (G)	1. Cooley D. (G)
Coaches
. Tortorella J.	. Huska R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:12, Bahl K. (2 min),
04:48, Pachal B. (2 min),
07:41, 0 - 1, Frost M. (G),
17:12, Howden B. (2 min),
17:43, Dowd N. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
01:47, 1 - 1, Marner M. (G), Theodore S. (A), McNabb B. (A2)
04:38, 1 - 2, Coleman B. (G), Backlund M. (A), Farabee J. (A2)
06:42, 2 - 2, Marner M. (G), Andersson R. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
08:37, Frost M. (2 min),
12:11, 2 - 3, Coleman B. (G),
15:29, Klapka A. (2 min),
16:21, 3 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
08:16, Strome R. (2 min),
12:19, 4 - 3, Howden B. (G), Theodore S. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
14:58, 5 - 3, Barbashev I. (G), Marner M. (A),
18:31, 6 - 3, Marner M. (G), Stone M. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
19:22, Klapka A. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vegas is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Rondbjerg J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Hanley J. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Huberdeau J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Calgary: Kuznetsov Y. (Upper-Body Injury) Zary C. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 67:56. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Calgary Flames: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Flames - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.93%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
30.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks	4:2 ✺
28.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals	4:5 penalties ✺
26.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Edmonton Oilers	3:4 OT ✺
24.03.26	Winnipeg Jets - Vegas Golden Knights	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- Calgary Flames
NHL
30.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Calgary Flames	9:2 ✺
28.03.26	Calgary Flames - Vancouver Canucks	7:3 ✺
26.03.26	Calgary Flames - Anaheim Ducks	2:3 OT ✺
24.03.26	Calgary Flames - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.12.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	6:3
18.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	6:1
14.10.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4
15.04.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4 penalties
05.04.25	Calgary Flames - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT
29.12.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	3:0
28.10.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Calgary Flames	5:0

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