Match Info

Date: 18 February 2022, Friday


	Vienna Capitals		Dornbirn

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	7
	1.3	6.25	6.5
	1.25	6	7
	1.31	5.8	8
	1.24	6.65	8.72
	1.3	5.5	8
	1.25	6.55	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	6.11 ↑ (5.4)	7.75 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Capitals
72.8%

Draw
15.2%

Dornbirn
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

17%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

15.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vienna Capitals's performance.

Dornbirn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dornbirn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dornbirn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vienna Capitals won 3.

Vienna Capitals is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dornbirn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dornbirn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vienna Capitals is absolute favorite.

Last 41 head-to-head matches Vienna Capitals won 28 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 134-92.

Including matches at home between the teams Vienna Capitals won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 65-44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
15.02.22	Graz 99ers - Vienna Capitals	0:2 ✺
11.02.22	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	6:3 ✺
08.02.22	Vienna Capitals - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
06.02.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Vienna Capitals	3:2 OT ✺
04.02.22	Vienna Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW
- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
15.02.22	Dornbirn - Red Bull Salzburg	Canceled ✺
05.02.22	Villacher - Dornbirn	5:0 ✺
04.02.22	Orli Znojmo - Dornbirn	7:4 ✺
01.02.22	Dornbirn - Black Wings Linz	0:3 ✺
30.01.22	Dornbirn - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.12.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	2:3
20.11.21	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	4:0
08.10.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	3:0
22.01.21	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	4:5 penalties
18.12.20	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	3:4 penalties
15.11.20	Vienna Capitals - Dornbirn	2:1
16.10.20	Dornbirn - Vienna Capitals	0:4

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