Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 33

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: STEFFL Arena (Vienna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Vienna Capitals		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.5	1.85
	3.2	4.4	1.86
	3.29	4.2	1.9	Watch
	3.1	4.33	1.8
	3.23	4.1	1.87	Watch
	3.1	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	4.26 ↓ (4.48)	1.85 (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Capitals
28.9%

Draw
21.6%

EC KAC
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

20.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

20.7%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Vienna Capitals - EC KAC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. EC KAC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EC KAC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Setzinger L. (G)	33. Vorauer F. (G)
8. Nogier N.	82. Nickl T.
24. Bourque S.	4. Teves J.
25. Gregoire J.	8. Petersen N.
19. Vey L.	9. Mursak J.
17. Kosmachuk S.	16. Schwinger S.
Line 2
92. Lindner L.	64. Preiml M.
98. Hults C.	92. Unterweger C.
61. Franklin Z.	89. Herburger R.
9. Wallner L.	29. Kempe M.
44. Souch C.	19. Waschnig D.
Line 3
13. Gazzola R.	12. Maier D.
5. Hackl D.	6. Sablattnig T.
42. Lanzinger B.	97. Hochegger F.
3. Preiser A.	81. van Ee F.
37. Kromp C.	90. Fraser M.
Line 4
71. Kirchschlager E.	39. Simovic F.
55. Wolf R.	26. Lam O.
34. Koschek F.	98. Obersteiner D.
49. Theirich M.	71. Dobrovolny J.
76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
31. Cowley E. (G)	32. Dahm S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:41, 0 - 1, Dobrovolny J. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:22, 0 - 2, Fraser M. (G), van Ee F. (A),
09:28, 0 - 3, Schwinger S. (G), Petersen N. (A), Mursak J. (A2)
11:44, 1 - 3, Bourque S. (G), Vey L. (A), Kosmachuk S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 1.

Vienna Capitals has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

EC KAC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

EC KAC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

EC KAC might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 48:77. (average 2.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vienna Capitals won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 2.3:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Vienna Capitals - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.04%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Vienna Capitals	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Vienna Capitals	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	2:5 ✺
17.12.25	Vienna Capitals - Ferencvárosi	4:3 ✺
07.12.25	Vienna Capitals - Red Bull Salzburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWWWL
- EC KAC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.12.25	EC KAC - Villacher	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ferencvárosi - EC KAC	0:5 ✺
19.12.25	EC KAC - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:2 ✺
17.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - EC KAC	3:6 ✺
07.12.25	EC KAC - Graz 99ers	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.11.25	EC KAC - Vienna Capitals	4:2
17.10.25	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	EC KAC - Vienna Capitals	2:3 OT
Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.01.25	EC KAC - Vienna Capitals	6:1
01.01.25	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	4:7
29.10.24	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	3:5
01.10.24	EC KAC - Vienna Capitals	3:2

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