Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadthalle (Villach)


	Villacher		Black Wings Linz

	1	X	2
	2	4.5	2.75
	1.95	4.2	3.1
	1.99	4.2	2.95
	1.98	4.13	3.1
	2.07	4.2	2.88	Watch
	1.85	4.2	3
	2.04	4.1	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	4.22 ↓ (4.34)	2.94 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
46.6%

Draw
21.9%

Black Wings Linz
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

21.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (+1%)

Villacher - Black Wings Linz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)	33. Honeckl T. (G)
2. MacPherson D.	46. Wurschl N.
42. Wall A.	47. Roe L.
72. Hughes J.	27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
13. Helewka A.	49. Knott G.
91. Hutchison N.	18. Ograjensek K.
Line 2
71. Strong S.	3. Moro G.
77. Lindner P.	23. Sollinger P.
8. Rebernig M.	14. Neubauer H.
16. Hancock K.	26. Barron T.
22. Scherbak N.	7. Lebler B.
Line 3
10. Vallant T.	13. Kragl G.
65. Kernberger M.	88. Auvitu Y.
26. van Nes G.	80. Pusnik J.
12. Budgell B.	81. Collins S.
74. Teasdale J.	9. Romig E.
Line 4
34. Prodinger D.	96. Tialler C.
18. Uschan N.	71. Geifes T.
40. Wallenta E.	66. Gaffal S.
78. Maxa F.	97. Maver L.
14. Tschurnig J.	37. Kristler A.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)	32. Tirronen R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:47, 0 - 1, Kragl G. (G), Maver L. (A), Romig E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:04, 1 - 1, Hancock K. (G), Scherbak N. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
14:06, 2 - 1, Hancock K. (G), Kernberger M. (A), Scherbak N. (A2)

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Villach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villach will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villach won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:66. (average 3.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villach won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Black Wings Linz: 2.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Black Wings Linz	9	5	1	1	2	35:27	18
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.03.26	Villacher - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villacher - Pioneers Vorarlberg	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Villacher	3:4 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Villacher	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWL
- Black Wings Linz
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.03.26	Black Wings Linz - Graz 99ers	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Black Wings Linz	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Black Wings Linz - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 OT ✺
20.02.26	Black Wings Linz - Vienna Capitals	1:4 ✺
18.02.26	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Black Wings Linz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
23.01.26	Villacher - Black Wings Linz	6:2
03.01.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	3:0
28.11.25	Villacher - Black Wings Linz	4:5 OT
26.09.25	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	3:8
28.01.25	Villacher - Black Wings Linz	4:3 OT
10.01.25	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	5:1
24.11.24	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	6:4

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