Match Info

D1 - Play Out - Final

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Villard-de-Lans		HCMP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	4.6	2.55
	2.04	4.65	2.62
	2.05	4	2.6
	2.08	4.15	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)	4.35 ↓ (4.65)	2.61 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villard-de-Lans
44.3%

Draw
20.9%

HCMP
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

19.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

21.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villard-de-Lans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villard-de-Lans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villard-de-Lans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Villard de Lans - HCMP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Villard leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Villard-de-Lans is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HCMP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

HCMP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villard-de-Lans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Villard-de-Lans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Villard	1	0	0	0	1	1:2	0

Last Results with these Odds

HCMP - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villard-de-Lans
French D1 Ice Hockey
28.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - HCMP	3:2 OT ✺
18.03.26	Meudon - Villard-de-Lans	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - Meudon	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - Meudon	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
28.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - HCMP	3:2 OT ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	5:4 OT ✺
19.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	2:6 ✺
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
28.03.26	Villard-de-Lans - HCMP	3:2 OT
07.02.26	HCMP - Villard-de-Lans	3:4
22.11.25	Villard-de-Lans - HCMP	3:2
05.02.25	HCMP - Villard-de-Lans	1:2

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