Match Info

Extraleague - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Vitebsk		Metallurg Zhlobin

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.4
	2	3.8	3.07	Watch
	1.92	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	3.67 ↓ (3.7)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
46.5%

Draw
24.6%

Metallurg Zhlobin
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Metallurg Zhlobin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Zhlobin than the current prediction. (+3%)

Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Bobariko R. (G)	30. Bolshakov S. (G)
97. Grishanov A.	98. Sokolovsky V.
33. Stepanov Y.	86. Volchenkov A.
17. Ipatov V.	47. Spat I.
19. Yadroets N.	66. Uskov M.
14. Mikhailov M.	17. Veremeyenko Y.
Line 2
93. Shchyochin V.	5. Geraschenko A.
44. Rubets K.	9. Gramovich V.
57. Gimbatov A.	10. Timirev A.
92. Sapozhnikov V.	26. Shevchenko A.
13. Astankov Y.	71. Beizak S.
Line 3
68. Listopadov M.	4. Zalitov Y.
22. Smirnov A.	23. Yermenkov V.
12. Levko A.	44. Kozyachy I.
88. Kambovich I.	87. Korablyov V.
10. Vasyutovich P.	34. Tukach D.
Line 4
11. Narodovsky V.	61. Naumov V.
37. Deribo A.	18. Bodilovsky R.
15. Malinovsky R.	22. Bovbel V.
	74. Kuznetsov R.
Substitutes
31. Minegaliyev A. (G)	20. Osipkov A. (G)
	46. Shurinov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:47, 0 - 1, Volchenkov A. (G), Shevchenko A. (A), Timirev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
06:22, 0 - 2, Tukach D. (G), Kozyachy I. (A),
15:53, 0 - 3, Kozyachy I. (G), Korablyov V. (A), Volchenkov A. (A2)
16:37, 0 - 4, Veremeyenko Y. (G), Beizak S. (A), Bolshakov S. (A2)
17:10, 0 - 5, Timirev A. (G), Shevchenko A. (A), Beizak S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:46, 0 - 6, Timirev A. (G), Yermenkov V. (A), Bolshakov S. (A2)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vitebsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 50:29. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 2.9:1).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Zhlobin: 15.81% Vitebsk: 7.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zhlobin	10	6	2	0	2	36:21	16
8	Vitebsk	11	5	1	1	4	34:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Zhlobin - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.72%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vitebsk
Belarusian Extraleague
20.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	4:2 ✺
16.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Molodechno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Metallurg Zhlobin
Belarusian Extraleague
20.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	4:2 ✺
16.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Gomel - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
20.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	1:3
18.03.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	4:2
16.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	4:2
14.03.26	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:2
23.02.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	2:3
21.02.26	Metallurg Zhlobin - Vitebsk	4:8
12.11.25	Vitebsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	4:2

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