Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.67	2.97
	2.17	3.9	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.08)	3.79 ↑ (3.74)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
43.5%

Draw
25.1%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

25.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Vityaz Balashikha - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	53. Dolganov F. (G)
57. Rykov Y.	55. Pastukhov I.
79. Roy J. (A)	24. Serikov A.
86. Vorobyov I.	51. Leshchenko V.
23. Gauthier F.	10. Dea J.
93. Arkalov I.	11. Barber R.
Line 2
7. Busygin Y.	96. Leontyev V.
18. Stewart D.	22. Profaca L.
72. Buchelnikov D.	91. Shafigullin B. (A)
26. Barach D.	52. Mityakin Y. (C)
74. Makeyev A.	71. Belozyorov A. (A)
Line 3
2. Golovkov I. (A)	45. Patalakha M.
9. Valentsov V.	73. Yuzlenko Y.
98. Almazov N.	33. Tochilkin G.
28. Chivilyov A.	61. Khoruzhev N.
40. Kalinin S.	21. Seleznyov G.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	47. Gainullin I.
41. Daryin A.	23. Bryukvin V.
10. Galuzin V. (C)	83. Urakov K.
27. Yezhov I.	27. Petrov K.
Substitutes
44. Shikin D. (G)	31. Ozolin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Leontyev O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:32, 1 - 0, Galuzin V. (G), Yezhov I. (A),
14:57, Tochilkin G. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:13, 1 - 1, Belozyorov A. (G), Pastukhov I. (A),
06:07, 2 - 1, Vorobyov I. (G), Gauthier F. (A), Arkalov I. (A2)
13:07, Vorobyov I. (2 min),
13:16, 2 - 2, Belozyorov A. (G), Serikov A. (A), Dea J. (A2)
16:50, 3 - 2, Makeyev A. (G), Roy J. (A), Buchelnikov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:30, Busygin Y. (2 min),
12:30, Barach D. (2 min),
14:49, 3 - 3, Petrov K. (G), Leontyev V. (A), Khoruzhev N. (A2)
15:28, Golovkov I. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Galuzin V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bryukvin V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Buchelnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Barber R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Barach D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Dea J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Vorobyov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Belozyorov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Daryin A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Leshchenko V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 2.

Vityaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neftekhimik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neftekhimik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vityaz have a series of guest games.

Vityaz will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Vityaz: Savchik I. (Injury) Tsitsyura V. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in Neftekhimik: Abrosimov R. (Injury) Dergachyov A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 41:45 (average 2.1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:19 (average 2.1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
28.11.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Vityaz Balashikha	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Spartak Moscow - Vityaz Balashikha	5:4 OT ✺
19.11.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 OT ✺
17.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	1:7 ✺
15.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Dinamo Minsk	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL
- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
28.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3 OT ✺
25.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kunlun	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:2 ✺
20.11.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.01.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:4
11.10.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0
13.02.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:2
05.02.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
08.01.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:5
14.11.22	Vityaz Balashikha - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:5
18.09.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2

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