Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Vityaz Balashikha

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.09	4.3
	1.73	4.14	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	4.12 ↓ (4.5)	4.37 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
55.5%

Draw
22.9%

Vityaz Balashikha
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

21.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Severstal Cherepovets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	31. Kareyev A. (G)
2. Grudinin V.	79. Roy J. (A)
44. Barberio M. (A)	9. Valentsov V.
13. Pilipenko K.	62. Marchenko T.
53. Aimurzin D.	10. Galuzin V. (C)
9. Davydov D.	27. Yezhov I.
Line 2
8. Kaldis Y.	16. Vashchenko G.
52. Pesterev V.	7. Busygin Y.
23. Liska A. (C)	41. Daryin A.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)	26. Barach D.
57. Kotlyarevsky M.	72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 3
54. Churkin A.	67. Vasiliev K.
7. Burenov N.	57. Rykov Y.
12. Skorenov A.	21. Savchik I.
69. Pyanov E.	87. Tsitsyura V.
97. Chebykin N.	28. Chivilyov A.
Line 4
47. Smirnov Y.	19. Malorosiyanov D.
26. Yershov I.	3. Figurin A.
88. Dumbadze D.	74. Makeyev A. (A)
66. Podshivalov I.	11. Ilyichyov M.
33. Mukhanov T.	8. Zaseda M.
Substitutes
1. Shostak K. (G)	90. Smirnov L. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:32, Barach D. (2 min),
12:33, 1 - 0, Kotlyarevsky M. (G), Dumbadze D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:07, 2 - 0, Burenov N. (G), Chebykin N. (A), Pyanov E. (A2)
17:07, (2 min),
18:59, Skorenov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:01, Kareyev A. ↓, Smirnov L. ↑,
01:51, Buchelnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
19:48, 3 - 0, Grudinin V. (G),
19:56, Yezhov I. (2 min),

Preview

Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Severstal won 2.

Recent matches Severstal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vityaz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Severstal is a favorite.

There will not play in Severstal: Dyblenko Y. (Injury) Shchuchinov A. (Injury)

There will not play in Vityaz: Chekhovich I. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Severstal won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 47:52 (average 2.4:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Severstal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:28 (average 2.8:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 5.15 are the expected chance of winning is 18.78%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
04.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:5 ✺
27.02.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 ✺
24.02.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Severstal Cherepovets	0:4 ✺
20.02.25	Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
03.03.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 ✺
28.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3 penalties ✺
26.02.25	Avangard Omsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3 OT ✺
24.02.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
12.01.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	1:2
17.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	1:7
12.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0
08.02.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT
05.01.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3
19.11.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	3:5
18.11.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	6:2

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