Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Ufa-Arena (Ufa)


	Salavat Yulaev Ufa		Vityaz Balashikha

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.16	4.21
	1.77	4.4	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	4.28 ↓ (4.3)	4.18 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salavat Yulaev Ufa
55.1%

Draw
22.2%

Vityaz Balashikha
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

21.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salavat Yulaev Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Salavat Yulaev Ufa aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+1%)

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Samonov A. (G)	83. Dorozhko M. (G)
33. Naumenkov M.	9. Valentsov V.
93. Vasilevsky A.	79. Roy J. (A)
90. Leivo J.	93. Arkalov I.
55. Chmelevski A. (A)	10. Galuzin V. (C)
77. Yepishchev I.	40. Kalinin S.
Line 2
11. Panin G. (C)	53. Pedan R.
63. Khafizullin D. (A)	18. Stewart D.
29. Todd N.	72. Buchelnikov D.
86. Sharov A.	26. Barach D.
56. Rempal S.	82. Chekhovich I.
Line 3
32. Varlov S.	2. Golovkov I. (A)
73. Tsulygin Y.	57. Rykov Y.
61. Alalyakin D.	13. Yarovoy S.
68. Pimenov A.	28. Chivilyov A.
13. Gorshkov A.	74. Makeyev A.
Line 4
96. Gazimov I.	19. Malorosiyanov D.
8. Komarov A.	41. Daryin A.
14. Chyorny A.	23. Gauthier F.
65. Yefremov V.	86. Vorobyov I.
79. Nabiev A.
Substitutes
50. Mozgovoy Y. (G)	44. Shikin D. (G)
35. Vyazovoy S. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
04:11, Vasilevsky A. (2 min),
12:25, Yarovoy S. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
13:23, Valentsov V. (2 min),
13:44, 1 - 0, Todd N. (G), Leivo J. (A), Rempal S. (A2)
16:41, 2 - 0, Alalyakin D. (G), Yefremov V. (A), Vasilevsky A. (A2)
17:06, 3 - 0, Yan D. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Tsulygin Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:50, Pedan R. (2 min),
04:52, Vasilevsky A. (2 min),
17:03, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
17:19, 4 - 0, Chmelevski A. (G), Todd N. (A), Leivo J. (A2)
19:28, Panin G. (2 min),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salavat Yulaev won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Salavat Yulaev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Salavat Yulaev is a favorite.

There will not play in Salavat Yulaev: Kuzmin G. (Injury)

There will not play in Vityaz: Tsitsyura V. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Salavat Yulaev to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Salavat Yulaev won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 66:41 (average 3.3:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Salavat Yulaev won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 41:17 (average 3.7:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 24.06%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salavat Yulaev Ufa
KHL
25.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:2 ✺
21.11.24	Lada Togliatti - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
18.11.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
15.11.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
23.11.24	Spartak Moscow - Vityaz Balashikha	5:4 OT ✺
19.11.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 OT ✺
17.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	1:7 ✺
15.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Dinamo Minsk	4:6 ✺
12.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.12.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5
13.10.23	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Vityaz Balashikha	8:1
11.02.23	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Vityaz Balashikha	4:0
05.09.22	Vityaz Balashikha - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2
25.11.21	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Vityaz Balashikha	2:3 penalties
18.11.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:4
21.10.20	Vityaz Balashikha - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:3

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