Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Utah Mammoth

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.2	2.4	Watch
	2.38	4.05	2.6
	2.45	4.2	2.6
	2.29	4.19	2.65	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.5
	2.35	4.2	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.08)	4.12 ↓ (4.25)	2.56 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
40%

Draw
23%

Utah Mammoth
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

22.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Capitals's form might have worsened.

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Mammoth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Washington Capitals - Utah Mammoth Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Utah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Period - Washington (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	70. Vejmelka K. (G)
42. Fehervary M.	50. Durzi S.
38. Sandin R.	98. Sergachyov M. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.	11. Guenther D.
17. Strome D.	8. Schmaltz N.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	9. Keller C. (C)
Line 2
3. Roy M.	6. Marino J.
6. Chychrun J.	88. Schmidt N.
43. Wilson T. (A)	67. Crouse L. (A)
80. Dubois P.	92. Cooley L.
21. Protas A.	77. Peterka J.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.	2. Maatta O.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	28. Cole I.
9. Leonard R.	56. Yamamoto K.
34. Sourdif J.	27. Hayton B.
24. McMichael C.	22. McBain J.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	53. Carcone M.
26. Dowd N. (A)	82. Stenlund K.
22. Duhaime B.	15. Kerfoot A.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	41. Vanecek V. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Tourigny A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
11:12, 0 - 1, Guenther D. (G), Keller C. (A), Schmaltz N. (A2)
12:29, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
13:23, 0 - 2, Sergachyov M. (G), Keller C. (A), Guenther D. (A2)
17:28, Kerfoot A. (2 min),
19:27, 1 - 2, Dubois P. (G), Sandin R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:44, Chychrun J. (2 min),
18:24, 1 - 3, Peterka J. (G), Cooley L. (A), Durzi S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:02, McBain J. (2 min),
06:31, 2 - 3, Leonard R. (G), Strome D. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Utah has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Washington: Carlson J. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Washington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Utah Mammoth: 3.47%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 46.15%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Utah Mammoth - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
28.02.26	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	6:2 ✺
27.02.26	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 ✺
25.02.26	Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Washington Capitals - Nashville Predators	4:2 ✺
03.02.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Washington Capitals	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL
- Utah Mammoth
NHL
01.03.26	Utah Mammoth - Chicago Blackhawks	0:4 ✺
27.02.26	Utah Mammoth - Minnesota Wild	5:2 ✺
25.02.26	Utah Mammoth - Colorado Avalanche	2:4 ✺
04.02.26	Utah Mammoth - Detroit Red Wings	4:1 ✺
02.02.26	Utah Mammoth - Vancouver Canucks	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
09.02.25	Washington Capitals - Utah Mammoth	4:5 penalties
18.11.24	Utah Mammoth - Washington Capitals	2:6

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