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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 27.2%
Draw 21.6%
Carolina Hurricanes 51.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.1%
22.6%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
22.9%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carolina Hurricanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
23.1%
46.2%
Washington Capitals - Carolina Hurricanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Carolina will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carolina: 19.1% โ 73.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
DC - Washington (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carolina Hurricanes will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 4 - 50%). Carolina (votes: 4 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Stevenson C. (G)
31. Andersen F. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)
5. Chatfield J.
38. Sandin R.
74. Slavin J. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.
24. Jarvis S.
17. Strome D.
20. Aho S.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
37. Svechnikov A.
Line 2
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
26. Walker S.
6. Chychrun J.
19. Miller K.
43. Wilson T. (A)
53. Blake J.
34. Sourdif J.
22. Stankoven L.
21. Protas A.
71. Hall T.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.
21. Nikishin A.
47. Chisholm D.
4. Gostisbehere S.
9. Leonard R.
48. Martinook J. (A)
26. Dowd N.
11. Staal J. (C)
53. Frank E.
27. Ehlers N.
Line 4
15. Milano S.
82. Kotkaniemi J.
29. Lapierre H.
77. Jankowski M.
22. Duhaime B.
28. Carrier W.
Substitutes
1. Bjorklund G. (G)
32. Bussi B. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Brind'Amour R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:21, Hall T. (2 min),
13:27, 0 - 1, Jankowski M. (G), Carrier W. (A), Kotkaniemi J. (A2)
17:51, 0 - 2, Aho S. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:16, 0 - 3, Gostisbehere S. (G), Martinook J. (A), Staal J. (A2)
07:52, 1 - 3, Lapierre H. (G), Milano S. (A),
09:49, Hall T. (2 min),
10:53, Leonard R. (2 min),
11:21, Chychrun J. (2 min),
14:58, 2 - 3, Strome D. (G), Protas A. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
18:27, Hall T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:59, Walker S. (2 min),
13:18, 3 - 3, Chychrun J. (G), Protas A. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:42, 4 - 3, Sourdif J. (G), Carlson J. (A), Frank E. (A2)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.
Washington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Carolina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
Carolina might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
Thompson L.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Carolina: Kochetkov P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Legault C.
(Hand Injury)
Robinson E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Washington: Lindgren C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Roy M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:69. (average 2.4:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 2.7:3.5).
Outrights of NHL for now
Carolina Hurricanes: 10.22% Washington Capitals: 4.65%
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Stevenson C. (G) 
Andersen F. (G) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Sandin R. 
Aho S. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Protas A. 
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